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French Guiana vs Sint Maarten - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup 2023 Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Abelenti A.
(Penalty)
38'
Illidge T.
40' Event
Amatkarijo C.

AI Match Summary

French Guiana in this Gold Cup 2023 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
French Guiana
20%
Draws
7%
Sint Maarten
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: French Guiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to French Guiana lately — more wins on the board than Sint Maarten.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on French Guiana taking it.
  • French Guiana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor French Guiana, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
French Guiana Clean Sheet 68%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric French Guiana Sint Maarten
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
French Guiana vs Sint Maarten
1:0
Jun 17, 2023 Gold Cup
French Guiana vs Sint Maarten
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

French Guiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Baal L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abelenti A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sint Maarten Compare

Top Goalscorer Amatkarijo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

French Guiana 95 / 100
Sint Maarten 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
French Guiana Sint Maarten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick French Guiana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sint Maarten let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

French Guiana's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

French Guiana has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

French Guiana VS Sint Maarten
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

French Guiana

(Home)
07 Oct
French Guiana
1 : 0
Belize
04 Oct
Belize
0 : 2
French Guiana
29 Sept
French Guiana
1 : 0
Sint Maarten
26 Sept
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
2 : 1
French Guiana
19 Nov
French Guiana
2 : 2
Belize
Page 1 of 6

Sint Maarten

(Away)
06 Oct
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
4 : 0
Sint Maarten
03 Oct
Sint Maarten
2 : 4
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
29 Sept
French Guiana
1 : 0
Sint Maarten
27 Sept
Sint Maarten
0 : 1
Belize
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Antigua and Barbuda 0
Guadeloupe 5
Guyana 2
Grenada 1
Martinique 3
Saint Lucia 1
Suriname 0
Puerto Rico 1
Curacao 1
Saint Kitts and Nevis 2
French Guiana 4
Sint Maarten 1
Final
Guadeloupe 2
Guyana 0
Martinique 2
Puerto Rico 0
Saint Kitts and Nevis 2
French Guiana 1