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Fresno FC 2 vs Burlingame

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2016
Wed, Jul 20, 2016
2 - 3
02:00 AM
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Burlingame advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Fresno FC 2
20%
Draws
38%
Burlingame
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fresno FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Fresno FC 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fresno FC 2 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Fresno FC 2 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Burlingame, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Fresno FC 2 Clean Sheet 13%
Burlingame Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fresno FC 2 Burlingame
Matches Played 42 34
Wins 25 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2017 USL League Two
Burlingame vs Fresno FC 2
0:2
May 14, 2017 USL League Two
Burlingame vs Fresno FC 2
0:3
May 7, 2017 USL League Two
Fresno FC 2 vs Burlingame
4:0
Jul 20, 2016 USL League Two
Fresno FC 2 vs Burlingame
2:3
Jul 9, 2016 USL League Two
Burlingame vs Fresno FC 2
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fresno FC 2 40 / 100
Burlingame 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fresno FC 2 Burlingame

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fresno FC 2 scored in 98% of their last 42 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Burlingame has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Solid form: Fresno FC 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fresno FC 2 VS Burlingame
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fresno FC 2

(Home)
15 Jul
San Francisco Glens SC
1 : 1
Fresno FC 2
12 Jul
Southern California Eagles
1 : 3
Fresno FC 2
08 Jul
Fresno FC 2
1 : 3
Orange County SC II
01 Jul
Fresno FC 2
1 : 0
Ventura
24 Jun
San Francisco City
1 : 3
Fresno FC 2
Page 1 of 9

Burlingame

(Away)
15 Jul
San Francisco City
0 : 1
Burlingame
08 Jul
Burlingame
3 : 1
Orange County SC II
02 Jul
Southern California Eagles
1 : 3
Burlingame
01 Jul
Ventura
2 : 2
Burlingame
24 Jun
Burlingame
1 : 1
Golden State Force
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Flint City-
TBD-
TBD-
Thunder Bay Chill-
Menace-
TBD-
TBD-
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC-
Oklahoma City Energy FC U23-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Florida U23-
Brave SC-
TBD-
TBD-
Midland Odessa-
Reading3
Western Pioneers1
Salem City4
South Carolina United Bantams1
Charlotte Eagles-
TBD-
Portland Phoenix1
Ocean City3
Tucson-
TBD-
Fresno FC 22
Burlingame3
Calgary-Foothills3
Sound FC1
San Diego Zest2
Golden State Force3
1/8-finals
Flint City3
Thunder Bay Chill0
Menace5
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC1
Oklahoma City Energy FC U232
FC Florida U231
Brave SC1
Midland Odessa2
Reading2
Salem City1
Charlotte Eagles0
Ocean City1
Tucson3
Burlingame2
Calgary-Foothills1
Golden State Force0
Quarter-finals
Flint City2
Menace0
Oklahoma City Energy FC U230
Midland Odessa1
Reading1
Ocean City4
Tucson1
Calgary-Foothills2
Semi-finals
Flint City3
Midland Odessa0
Ocean City0
Calgary-Foothills3
Final
Flint City3
Calgary-Foothills2