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Friburguense vs Aracruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Série D 2012
Friburguense Logo

Friburguense

2 - 1
FT
Aracruz Logo

Aracruz

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Friburguense in this Série D 2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Friburguense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Friburguense
35%
Draws
12%
Aracruz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Friburguense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Aracruz have won more games recently than Friburguense.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Friburguense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Friburguense Clean Sheet 20%
Aracruz Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Friburguense Aracruz
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.74 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2012 Serie D
Friburguense vs Aracruz
2:1
Jul 7, 2012 Serie D
Aracruz vs Friburguense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Friburguense 85 / 100
Aracruz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Friburguense Aracruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Friburguense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Friburguense remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Aracruz has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Friburguense scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Friburguense VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Friburguense

(Home)
06 Oct
Friburguense
1 : 0
Paduano EC
02 Oct
7 de Abril
1 : 2
Friburguense
27 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
20 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 0
Campos AA
13 Sept
Paraty
1 : 4
Friburguense
Page 1 of 7

Aracruz

(Away)
24 Aug
Tupi-MG
2 : 1
Aracruz
10 Aug
Aracruz
0 : 0
Araxa
03 Aug
Resende
4 : 1
Aracruz
27 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0
Nova Iguacu
20 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0
Resende
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 8 5 1 2 20:16 16
2 Vilhena 8 5 0 3 17:10 15
3 Acreano 8 4 1 3 19:15 13
4 Penarol 8 3 0 5 16:16 9
5 Nautico FC 8 2 0 6 9:24 6
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sampaio Correa 8 8 0 0 25:2 24
2 Mixto 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
3 Comercial PI 8 2 2 4 6:13 8
4 Santos AP 8 1 4 3 9:16 7
5 Araguaina 8 0 3 5 4:17 3
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baraunas 8 4 3 1 12:7 15
2 Campinense 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
3 Horizonte 8 3 4 1 9:5 13
4 Ypiranga 8 2 2 4 13:15 8
5 Petrolina 8 0 3 5 9:19 3
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSA 8 6 2 0 15:3 20
2 Sousa 8 3 4 1 7:5 13
3 Feirense 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
4 Itabaiana 8 1 3 4 5:10 6
5 Vitoria da Conquista 8 1 1 6 7:13 4
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CRAC 8 4 3 1 15:9 15
2 Ceilandia 8 4 2 2 14:14 14
3 CENE 8 4 1 3 17:11 13
4 Aparecidense 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
5 Sobradinho 8 0 3 5 8:16 3
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friburguense 8 4 4 0 13:4 16
2 Nacional MG 8 3 4 1 7:5 13
3 Aracruz 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
4 Volta Redonda 8 2 2 4 5:6 8
5 Guarani-MG 8 1 3 4 3:11 6
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cianorte 8 5 3 0 14:4 18
2 Mogi Mirim 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
3 Ceramica AC 8 3 2 3 10:7 11
4 Marilia 8 1 4 3 7:15 7
5 Concordia 8 1 1 6 7:15 4
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CA Metropolitano 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
2 SE Juventude 8 3 3 2 7:4 12
3 Arapongas 8 2 4 2 6:6 10
4 Brasil de Pelotas 8 2 3 3 6:7 9
5 Mirassol 8 1 4 3 8:11 7
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)