Sport Picks
Friburguense vs Duque de Caxias - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Carioca B1 2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Duque de Caxias in this Carioca B1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Duque de Caxias.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Friburguense haven't matched Duque de Caxias's recent run of results.
- Model gives Friburguense a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Friburguense | Duque de Caxias |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Friburguense Compare
Duque de Caxias Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Friburguense stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Duque de Caxias let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Friburguense found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Friburguense
(Home)Duque de Caxias
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bonsucesso | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 14:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Sao Cristovao | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Serrano FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Duque de Caxias | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Niteroiense | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Goncalense | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Nova Cidade | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 16 |
| 8 | Campo Grande | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 9:8 | 15 |
| 9 | Artsul | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | AA Carapebus | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Paduano EC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 12 | Friburguense | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:13 | 4 |
