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Match Events
AI Match Summary
Friburguense in this Carioca B2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Friburguense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Paduano EC lately — more wins on the board than Friburguense.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Friburguense taking it.
- Regular Carioca B2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Friburguense here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Friburguense | Paduano EC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Friburguense Compare
Paduano EC Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Friburguense has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Paduano EC conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Friburguense scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 1.33 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Friburguense
(Home)Paduano EC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Friburguense | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Serra Macaense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Cardoso Moreira | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 4 | Belford Roxo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz RJ | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Paduano EC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 7 | FC Rio de Janeiro | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 de Abril | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 9 | Campos AA | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 11 | Buzios | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5:18 | 3 |
| 12 | Paraty | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4:21 | 0 |