Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Friedburg vs Micheldorf - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Oberosterreich
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Friedburg host Micheldorf in the Oberosterreich. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Micheldorf have shipped 1.81 goals a game lately, while Friedburg have conceded 1.77 and scored 2.27. Past meetings favor Friedburg slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (2.00 - 1.75) back Friedburg to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Friedburg
20%
Draws
34%
Micheldorf
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Friedburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Friedburg have won more games recently than Micheldorf.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • History favors Friedburg here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Friedburg Clean Sheet 12%
Micheldorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Friedburg Micheldorf
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.27 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Oberosterreich
Micheldorf vs Friedburg
3:1
Oct 3, 2025 Oberosterreich
Friedburg vs Micheldorf
2:0
Mar 22, 2025 Oberosterreich
Friedburg vs Micheldorf
2:1
Aug 14, 2024 Oberosterreich
Micheldorf vs Friedburg
0:3
Apr 13, 2024 Oberosterreich
Friedburg vs Micheldorf
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Friedburg 35 / 100
Micheldorf 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Friedburg Micheldorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Micheldorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Friedburg scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Micheldorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Friedburg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Friedburg VS Micheldorf
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Friedburg

(Home)
02 Oct
Friedburg
1 : 1
Perg
26 Sept
ASK St.Valentin
6 : 0
Friedburg
19 Sept
Sportunion St. Martin im Muhlreis
0 : 1
Friedburg
11 Sept
Friedburg
2 : 1
Andorf
05 Sept
Bad Ischl
2 : 2
Friedburg
Page 1 of 6

Micheldorf

(Away)
03 Oct
Andorf
3 : 0
Micheldorf
25 Sept
Micheldorf
4 : 2
Bad Ischl
18 Sept
Pregarten
0 : 1
Micheldorf
11 Sept
Micheldorf
1 : 2
Union Weisskirchen
04 Sept
Union Edelweiss Linz
4 : 1
Micheldorf
Page 1 of 7