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Friedburg vs Perg

Austria Austria

Oberosterreich 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberosterreich 2025/2026 game between Friedburg and Perg finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Friedburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Friedburg
20%
Draws
38%
Perg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Friedburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Perg come out ahead of Friedburg on wins alone.
  • Friedburg are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Friedburg Clean Sheet 14%
Perg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Friedburg Perg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 9 10
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Oberosterreich
Perg vs Friedburg
0:0
Oct 17, 2025 Oberosterreich
Friedburg vs Perg
3:0
Mar 28, 2025 Oberosterreich
Perg vs Friedburg
1:2
Aug 24, 2024 Oberosterreich
Friedburg vs Perg
1:1
Jun 7, 2024 Oberosterreich
Friedburg vs Perg
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Friedburg 41 / 100
Perg 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Friedburg Perg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Friedburg scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Friedburg stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Perg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Friedburg VS Perg
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Friedburg

(Home)
12 Jun
Friedburg
3 : 2
Bad Ischl
07 Jun
Pregarten
1 : 2
Friedburg
29 May
Friedburg
1 : 1
ASKO Oedt (Am)
22 May
Perg
0 : 0
Friedburg
15 May
Friedburg
4 : 1
Sportunion St. Martin im Muhlreis
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Perg

(Away)
12 Jun
Mondsee
4 : 2
Perg
03 Jun
Perg
5 : 1
Sportunion St. Martin im Muhlreis
29 May
Micheldorf
0 : 1
Perg
22 May
Perg
0 : 0
Friedburg
15 May
Ostermiething
1 : 1
Perg
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