Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Friesdorf vs Hennef

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Okoroafar M.
30' Event
Dahas M.
35' Event
Kardan M.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2022/2023 game between Friesdorf and Hennef finished 2-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hennef.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Friesdorf
15%
Draws
59%
Hennef
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hennef

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hennef come out ahead of Friesdorf on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Hennef taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Friesdorf Clean Sheet 18%
Hennef Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Friesdorf Hennef
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 3 2
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.27 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.93 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Friesdorf vs Hennef
2:6
Oct 30, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Hennef vs Friesdorf
2:0
Jun 12, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Hennef vs Friesdorf
2:1
Jun 9, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Friesdorf vs Hennef
2:1
Mar 28, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Friesdorf vs Hennef
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Friesdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kardan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Hennef Compare

Top Goalscorer Okoroafar M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iohara S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Friesdorf 10 / 100
Hennef 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Friesdorf Hennef

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hennef Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hennef has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Friesdorf scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Friesdorf remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hennef
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Friesdorf

(Home)
22 Jul
Engers
2 : 0
Friesdorf
11 Jun
Friesdorf
2 : 4
Bergisch Gladbach
04 Jun
VfL Vichttal
11 : 3
Friesdorf
29 May
Friesdorf
3 : 2
Frechen
21 May
FC Viktoria 08
2 : 0
Friesdorf
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Hennef

(Away)
27 Sept
Konigsdorf
1 : 4
Hennef
20 Sept
Hennef
0 : 3
FC Wegberg-Beeck
13 Sept
Eintracht Hohkeppel
3 : 0
Hennef
06 Sept
Hennef
2 : 1
Bornheim
30 Aug
FC Hurth
0 : 0
Hennef
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hennef 30 22 2 6 73:37 68
2 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 20 5 5 65:28 65
3 VfL Vichttal 30 19 4 7 88:51 61
4 Bonner 30 16 7 7 70:28 55
5 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 15 8 7 67:48 53
6 Bergisch Gladbach 30 15 8 7 53:35 53
7 Frechen 30 11 7 12 53:49 40
8 Borussia Freialdenhoven 30 10 8 12 38:52 38
9 Konigsdorf 30 10 4 16 49:51 34
10 FC Hurth 30 8 10 12 44:54 34
11 Glesch/Paffendorf 30 10 3 17 53:71 33
12 Fortuna Koln II 30 7 11 12 42:53 32
13 Siegburger 30 9 5 16 39:52 32
14 Friesdorf 30 8 4 18 39:88 28
15 Pesch 30 6 8 16 34:63 26
16 FC Viktoria 08 30 4 6 20 27:74 18
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