Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Friesdorf vs Pesch

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Selmani S.
(Penalty)
9' Event
Heuter J.
20' Event
Koc T.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2022/2023 game between Friesdorf and Pesch finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pesch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Friesdorf
15%
Draws
0%
Pesch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Friesdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Friesdorf carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pesch's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Friesdorf Clean Sheet 20%
Pesch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Friesdorf Pesch
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 8 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 19 26
Goals Scored 1.27 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.93 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.79 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Friesdorf vs Pesch
2:3
Sep 4, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Pesch vs Friesdorf
6:0
May 8, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Friesdorf vs Pesch
3:3
Oct 24, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Pesch vs Friesdorf
2:2
Jun 13, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Pesch vs Friesdorf
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Friesdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.15
Avg xA / game 1.4

Pesch Compare

Top Goalscorer Heuter J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koc T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Friesdorf 28 / 100
Pesch 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Friesdorf Pesch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pesch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pesch has conceded goals in 94% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Pesch registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Friesdorf scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pesch
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 4.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Friesdorf

(Home)
22 Jul
Engers
2 : 0
Friesdorf
11 Jun
Friesdorf
2 : 4
Bergisch Gladbach
04 Jun
VfL Vichttal
11 : 3
Friesdorf
29 May
Friesdorf
3 : 2
Frechen
21 May
FC Viktoria 08
2 : 0
Friesdorf
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Pesch

(Away)
07 Jun
Pesch
0 : 2
Eintracht Hohkeppel
31 May
Konigsdorf
2 : 0
Pesch
25 May
Pesch
0 : 2
Bornheim
17 May
Siegburger
2 : 0
Pesch
10 May
Pesch
0 : 2
Teutonia Weiden
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hennef 30 22 2 6 73:37 68
2 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 20 5 5 65:28 65
3 VfL Vichttal 30 19 4 7 88:51 61
4 Bonner 30 16 7 7 70:28 55
5 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 15 8 7 67:48 53
6 Bergisch Gladbach 30 15 8 7 53:35 53
7 Frechen 30 11 7 12 53:49 40
8 Borussia Freialdenhoven 30 10 8 12 38:52 38
9 Konigsdorf 30 10 4 16 49:51 34
10 FC Hurth 30 8 10 12 44:54 34
11 Glesch/Paffendorf 30 10 3 17 53:71 33
12 Fortuna Koln II 30 7 11 12 42:53 32
13 Siegburger 30 9 5 16 39:52 32
14 Friesdorf 30 8 4 18 39:88 28
15 Pesch 30 6 8 16 34:63 26
16 FC Viktoria 08 30 4 6 20 27:74 18
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2023/2024 (Main)