Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Friesdorf vs Pesch

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Selmani S.
(Penalty)
9' Event
Heuter J.
20' Event
Koc T.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2022/2023 game between Friesdorf and Pesch finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pesch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Friesdorf
33%
Draws
40%
Pesch
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Pesch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Friesdorf carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pesch's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Friesdorf Clean Sheet 20%
Pesch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Friesdorf Pesch
Matches Played 33 37
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 3
Losses 19 26
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 4.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Friesdorf vs Pesch
2:3
Sep 4, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Pesch vs Friesdorf
6:0
May 8, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Friesdorf vs Pesch
3:3
Oct 24, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Pesch vs Friesdorf
2:2
Jun 13, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Pesch vs Friesdorf
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Friesdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Pesch Compare

Top Goalscorer Heuter J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koc T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Friesdorf 28 / 100
Pesch 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Friesdorf Pesch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pesch has conceded goals in 92% of their last 37 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Pesch registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Friesdorf scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pesch
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 4.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Friesdorf

(Home)
22 Jul
Engers
2 : 0
Friesdorf
11 Jun
Friesdorf
2 : 4
Bergisch Gladbach
04 Jun
VfL Vichttal
11 : 3
Friesdorf
29 May
Friesdorf
3 : 2
Frechen
21 May
FC Viktoria 08
2 : 0
Friesdorf
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Pesch

(Away)
07 Jun
Pesch
0 : 2
Eintracht Hohkeppel
31 May
Konigsdorf
2 : 0
Pesch
25 May
Pesch
0 : 2
Bornheim
17 May
Siegburger
2 : 0
Pesch
10 May
Pesch
0 : 2
Teutonia Weiden
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hennef30222673:3768
2FC Wegberg-Beeck30205565:2865
3VfL Vichttal30194788:5161
4Bonner30167770:2855
5Eintracht Hohkeppel30158767:4853
6Bergisch Gladbach30158753:3553
7Frechen301171253:4940
8Borussia Freialdenhoven301081238:5238
9Konigsdorf301041649:5134
10FC Hurth308101244:5434
11Glesch/Paffendorf301031753:7133
12Fortuna Koln II307111242:5332
13Siegburger30951639:5232
14Friesdorf30841839:8828
15Pesch30681634:6326
16FC Viktoria 0830462027:7418
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