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Frigg vs Gjellerasen

Norway Norway

OBOS Supercup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

' Event
16' Event
33' Event

AI Match Summary

Frigg in this OBOS Supercup 2024 tie, finishing 9-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Frigg
15%
Draws
42%
Gjellerasen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Frigg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Frigg lately — more wins on the board than Gjellerasen.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Frigg taking it.
  • Frigg have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gjellerasen, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Frigg Clean Sheet 16%
Gjellerasen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frigg Gjellerasen
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.64 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 OBOS Supercup
Frigg vs Gjellerasen
9:3
Aug 19, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Frigg vs Gjellerasen
2:4
May 27, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Gjellerasen vs Frigg
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frigg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Gjellerasen Compare

Top Goalscorer Skoglund S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hjelkerud J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frigg 84 / 100
Gjellerasen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frigg Gjellerasen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frigg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frigg's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gjellerasen conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 8.67 goals as a typical output.

Gjellerasen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Frigg VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Frigg

(Home)
26 Sept
Union Carl Berner
6 : 2
Frigg
19 Sept
Frigg
2 : 0
Konnerud
12 Sept
Heming
5 : 1
Frigg
05 Sept
Frigg
5 : 2
Ready
22 Aug
Frigg
0 : 4
Kjelsas
Page 1 of 6

Gjellerasen

(Away)
27 Oct
Gjellerasen
1 : 5
Funnefoss/Vormsund
20 Oct
Ready
7 : 0
Gjellerasen
06 Oct
Gjellerasen
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
28 Sept
Skjetten
4 : 0
Gjellerasen
22 Sept
Gjellerasen
2 : 0
Hodd 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skeid 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
2 Ull/Kisa 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Eidsvold TF 6 3 2 1 15:10 11
4 Grorud 6 2 3 1 7:4 9
5 Lorenskog 6 2 0 4 8:16 6
6 Arendal 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
7 Nordstrand 6 1 0 5 6:14 3
Promotion - OBOS Supercup 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frigg 5 4 0 1 19:9 12
2 Oppsal 5 4 0 1 13:8 12
3 Asker 5 3 0 2 15:11 9
4 Ullern 5 2 0 3 11:12 6
5 Baerum 5 2 0 3 4:10 6
6 Gjellerasen 5 0 0 5 8:20 0
Promotion - OBOS Supercup 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup 2024 (Play Offs)