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Friska Viljor vs IFK Umea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland Skyttis IP, Örnsköldsvik
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Friska Viljor host IFK Umea in the Division 2 - Norrland. Friska Viljor are expected to control this from the start. Friska Viljor have averaged 2.07 scored and 1.9 conceded recently, against IFK Umea's 0.86 scored and 2.86 conceded. Head-to-head, Friska Viljor have won 3 to IFK Umea's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.69, favoring Friska Viljor. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Friska Viljor
15%
Draws
7%
IFK Umea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Friska Viljor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Friska Viljor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Friska Viljor taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Friska Viljor Clean Sheet 13%
IFK Umea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Friska Viljor IFK Umea
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 2
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 2.07 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Friska Viljor
2:3
Aug 28, 2020 Division 2 - Norrland
Friska Viljor vs IFK Umea
1:1
May 8, 2020 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Friska Viljor
0:0
Aug 5, 2019 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Friska Viljor
2:6
Apr 18, 2019 Division 2 - Norrland
Friska Viljor vs IFK Umea
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Friska Viljor 84 / 100
IFK Umea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Friska Viljor IFK Umea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Friska Viljor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Friska Viljor scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

IFK Umea let in goals in 100% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solid form: Friska Viljor remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Friska Viljor VS IFK Umea
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Friska Viljor

(Home)
03 Oct
Umea FF
0 : 4
Friska Viljor
26 Sept
Storfors AIK
0 : 3
Friska Viljor
19 Sept
Friska Viljor
3 : 0
Fransta IK
12 Sept
Friska Viljor
1 : 5
Umea FC Akademi
05 Sept
IFK Umea
2 : 3
Friska Viljor
Page 1 of 6

IFK Umea

(Away)
30 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
6 : 0
IFK Umea
26 Sept
IFK Umea
1 : 3
Umea FF
19 Sept
Storfors AIK
1 : 1
IFK Umea
12 Sept
Fransta IK
4 : 0
IFK Umea
05 Sept
IFK Umea
2 : 3
Friska Viljor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friska Viljor 9 6 1 2 22:14 31
2 Umea FC Akademi 9 5 1 3 27:15 27
3 Storfors AIK 9 5 1 3 15:11 24
4 Fransta IK 9 5 0 4 19:18 24
5 Umea FF 9 4 0 5 18:20 23
6 IFK Umea 9 0 1 8 8:31 5
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation)