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Frolunda vs Jonsereds

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Stern-Pettersson A.
52' Event
Jankulovski A.
88' Event
Dusi L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland game between Frolunda and Jonsereds finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Frolunda
15%
Draws
46%
Jonsereds
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jonsereds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jonsereds come out ahead of Frolunda on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Frolunda Clean Sheet 10%
Jonsereds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frolunda Jonsereds
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.83 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Frolunda vs Jonsereds
2:2
Sep 14, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Frolunda vs Jonsereds
4:2
Apr 26, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Frolunda
4:2
Oct 19, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Frolunda
1:3
Jun 9, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Frolunda vs Jonsereds
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frolunda Compare

Top Goalscorer Jankulovski A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dusi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Jonsereds Compare

Top Goalscorer Stern-Pettersson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gatjetjiladze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frolunda 34 / 100
Jonsereds 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frolunda Jonsereds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jonsereds Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Frolunda found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Jonsereds conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Frolunda has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Frolunda VS Jonsereds
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Frolunda

(Home)
27 Sept
Frolunda
2 : 0
Astorps
20 Sept
Galtabacks
4 : 1
Frolunda
11 Sept
Dalstorps
3 : 0
Frolunda
05 Sept
Frolunda
3 : 1
Onsala
28 Aug
Lindome
2 : 1
Frolunda
Page 1 of 6

Jonsereds

(Away)
26 Sept
Jonsereds
1 : 1
Hestrafors
20 Sept
Astorps
2 : 0
Jonsereds
12 Sept
Jonsereds
3 : 2
Torslanda
06 Sept
Qviding
1 : 0
Jonsereds
30 Aug
Jonsereds
4 : 2
BK Astrio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Landvetter 23 16 3 4 41:19 51
2 Dalstorps 23 12 7 4 44:25 43
3 Hestrafors 23 12 5 6 48:38 41
4 Jonsereds 23 11 6 6 39:37 39
5 Frolunda 23 10 6 7 44:38 36
6 Lindome 23 10 4 9 42:37 34
7 Boljan 23 9 7 7 36:31 34
8 Qviding 23 10 4 9 44:43 34
9 Onsala 23 7 6 10 32:37 27
10 Kongahalla 23 7 6 10 35:43 27
11 Astorps 23 7 5 11 28:38 26
12 Torslanda 23 6 7 10 37:42 25
13 Galtabacks 23 5 5 13 35:42 20
14 BK Astrio 23 2 3 18 21:56 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland (Relegation)