Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Frome Town vs Bath City

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Dowling G.

AI Match Summary

Frome Town in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Frome Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Frome Town
15%
Draws
48%
Bath City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bath City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Frome Town have won more games recently than Bath City.
  • Win probability leans Frome Town's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bath City here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Frome Town Clean Sheet 16%
Bath City Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frome Town Bath City
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.78 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Frome Town vs Bath City
1:0
Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Frome Town vs Bath City
0:5
Oct 2, 2021 FA Cup
Bath City vs Frome Town
5:0
Jul 6, 2021 Club Friendly
Frome Town vs Bath City
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frome Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Dowling G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Bath City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frome Town 66 / 100
Bath City 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frome Town Bath City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frome Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bath City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Frome Town scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Frome Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Frome Town VS Bath City
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Frome Town

(Home)
26 Sept
Frome Town
2 : 1
Willand Rovers
22 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0
Frome Town
19 Sept
Frome Town
0 : 2
Plymouth Parkway
12 Sept
Frome Town
2 : 2
Hanwell Town
05 Sept
Falmouth Town
2 : 4
Frome Town
Page 1 of 6

Bath City

(Away)
26 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
0 : 3
Bath City
22 Sept
Taunton Town
1 : 3
Bath City
12 Sept
Bath City
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
05 Sept
Bath City
0 : 2
Weymouth
31 Aug
Frome Town
1 : 0
Bath City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth Parkway 8 6 1 1 22:7 19
2 Uxbridge 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Hanworth Villa 8 5 1 2 15:7 16
4 Chertsey Town 8 4 2 2 19:12 14
5 Bath City 8 4 2 2 11:7 14
6 Frome Town 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
7 Chichester City 8 4 1 3 13:14 13
8 Berkhamsted Town 9 4 1 4 11:12 13
9 Taunton Town 8 4 0 4 21:20 12
10 Poole Town 7 4 0 3 8:9 12
11 Gosport Borough 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
12 Yate 7 3 2 2 10:11 11
13 Evesham 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
14 Bracknell Town 8 3 1 4 10:17 10
15 Wimborne 7 2 3 2 6:4 9
16 Basingstoke 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
17 Sholing 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
18 Chippenham Town 7 2 1 4 7:14 7
19 Hanwell Town 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
20 Gloucester City 8 1 3 4 11:16 6
21 Malvern Town 8 1 2 5 12:23 5
22 Havant & Waterlooville 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)