Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Frosinone vs Ascoli

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Colley M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Frosinone and Ascoli finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Frosinone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Frosinone
30%
Draws
27%
Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Frosinone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ascoli come out ahead of Frosinone on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Frosinone taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Frosinone have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Frosinone Clean Sheet 20%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frosinone Ascoli
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 17 20
Draws 10 7
Losses 1 6
Goals Scored 1.96 1.73
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Frosinone vs Ascoli
1:0
Apr 10, 2023 Serie B
Frosinone vs Ascoli
2:0
Nov 11, 2022 Serie B
Ascoli vs Frosinone
0:1
Mar 6, 2022 Serie B
Ascoli vs Frosinone
1:1
Oct 23, 2021 Serie B
Frosinone vs Ascoli
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frosinone Compare

Top Goalscorer Colley M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ascoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frosinone 36 / 100
Ascoli 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frosinone Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frosinone's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Frosinone stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Ascoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Frosinone VS Ascoli
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Frosinone

(Home)
01 Aug
Frosinone
2 : 2
Benevento
29 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0
Ascoli
22 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0
Frosinone U20
08 May
Frosinone
5 : 0
Mantova
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Ascoli

(Away)
08 Aug
Ascoli
3 : 1
Potenza
02 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 2
Lazio
26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0
Ascoli
07 Jun
Ascoli
3 : 0
Union Brescia
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1
Ascoli
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