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Frosinone vs Ascoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Colley M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Frosinone and Ascoli finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Frosinone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Frosinone
20%
Draws
40%
Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ascoli have managed 1.74 goals a game lately — Frosinone are scoring more at 2.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Frosinone taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Frosinone have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Frosinone Clean Sheet 16%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frosinone Ascoli
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 17 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 2 1.74
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Frosinone vs Ascoli
1:0
Apr 10, 2023 Serie B
Frosinone vs Ascoli
2:0
Nov 11, 2022 Serie B
Ascoli vs Frosinone
0:1
Mar 6, 2022 Serie B
Ascoli vs Frosinone
1:1
Oct 23, 2021 Serie B
Frosinone vs Ascoli
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frosinone Compare

Top Goalscorer Colley M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ascoli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frosinone 41 / 100
Ascoli 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frosinone Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frosinone's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ascoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Frosinone stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Frosinone VS Ascoli
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Frosinone

(Home)
02 Oct
Frosinone
2 : 1
Benevento
20 Sept
Frosinone
2 : 0
Como
12 Sept
Genoa
1 : 1
Frosinone
06 Sept
Frosinone
3 : 2
Venezia
02 Sept
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Frosinone
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Ascoli

(Away)
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0
Ascoli
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1
Carrarese
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2
Ascoli
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