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Frosinone vs Brescia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B 2024/2025 Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kvernadze G.
Assist: Kone B. L.
18'
Borrelli G.
42' Event
Moncini G.
Assist: Bisoli D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2024/2025 game between Frosinone and Brescia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Frosinone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Frosinone
30%
Draws
31%
Brescia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Frosinone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Frosinone carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Frosinone a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Frosinone Clean Sheet 68%
Brescia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frosinone Brescia
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 19 7
Draws 9 15
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Serie B
Frosinone vs Brescia
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Serie B
Brescia vs Frosinone
4:0
Jan 22, 2023 Serie B
Brescia vs Frosinone
1:3
Aug 21, 2022 Serie B
Frosinone vs Brescia
3:0
Feb 20, 2022 Serie B
Brescia vs Frosinone
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frosinone Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvernadze G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ghedjemis F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Brescia Compare

Top Goalscorer Moncini G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frosinone 59 / 100
Brescia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frosinone Brescia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frosinone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frosinone scored in 97% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Brescia conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Frosinone remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Frosinone VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Frosinone

(Home)
02 Oct
Frosinone
2 : 1
Benevento
20 Sept
Frosinone
2 : 0
Como
12 Sept
Genoa
1 : 1
Frosinone
06 Sept
Frosinone
3 : 2
Venezia
02 Sept
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Frosinone
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Brescia

(Away)
13 May
Brescia
2 : 1
Reggiana
09 May
Modena
2 : 2
Brescia
04 May
Brescia
0 : 0
Juve Stabia
01 May
Cittadella
0 : 1
Brescia
25 Apr
Brescia
1 : 2
Pisa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sassuolo 38 25 7 6 78:38 82
2 Pisa 38 23 7 8 64:36 76
3 Spezia 38 17 15 6 59:33 66
4 Cremonese 38 16 13 9 62:44 61
5 Juve Stabia 38 14 13 11 42:41 55
6 Catanzaro 38 11 20 7 51:45 53
7 Cesena 38 14 11 13 46:47 53
8 Palermo 38 14 10 14 52:43 52
9 Bari 38 10 18 10 41:40 48
10 Sudtirol 38 12 10 16 50:57 46
11 Modena 38 10 15 13 48:50 45
12 Carrarese 38 11 12 15 39:49 45
13 Reggiana 38 11 11 16 42:52 44
14 Mantova 38 10 14 14 47:56 44
15 Frosinone 38 9 16 13 37:50 43
16 Salernitana 38 11 9 18 37:47 42
17 Sampdoria 38 8 17 13 38:49 41
18 Brescia 38 9 16 13 42:48 39
19 Cittadella 38 10 9 19 30:56 39
20 Cosenza 38 7 13 18 32:56 30
Promotion - Serie A 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2024/2025 (Play Out)