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Frosinone vs Empoli

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Shpendi S.
Assist: Ebuehi T.
22'
Magnino L.
26'
Elia S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Frosinone
35%
Draws
34%
Empoli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Frosinone lately — more wins on the board than Empoli.
  • Model gives Frosinone a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Frosinone Clean Sheet 20%
Empoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frosinone Empoli
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 6
Draws 10 11
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 1.9 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Serie B
Frosinone vs Empoli
2:2
Dec 27, 2025 Serie B
Empoli vs Frosinone
1:1
May 5, 2024 Serie A
Empoli vs Frosinone
0:0
Nov 6, 2023 Serie A
Frosinone vs Empoli
2:1
Jan 30, 2021 Serie B
Empoli vs Frosinone
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frosinone Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghedjemis F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koutsoupias I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Empoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Shpendi S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frosinone 42 / 100
Empoli 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frosinone Empoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frosinone found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (30 games).

Empoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Frosinone stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Frosinone VS Empoli
2 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Frosinone

(Home)
09 Aug
Frosinone
1 : 2
Lazio
01 Aug
Frosinone
2 : 2
Benevento
29 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0
Ascoli
22 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0
Frosinone U20
Page 1 of 6

Empoli

(Away)
08 Aug
Livorno
1 : 1
Empoli
01 Aug
Empoli
1 : 1
Spezia
25 Jul
Empoli
1 : 0
Entella
08 May
Monza
2 : 2
Empoli
01 May
Empoli
1 : 0
Avellino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)