Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Frosinone vs Palermo

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Palumbo A.
39'
Ranocchia F.
43'
Bracaglia G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Frosinone and Palermo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Frosinone
39%
Draws
31%
Palermo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Frosinone come out ahead of Palermo on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Frosinone Clean Sheet 16%
Palermo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frosinone Palermo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 19 17
Draws 10 9
Losses 1 5
Goals Scored 1.75 2.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Serie B
Frosinone vs Palermo
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 Serie B
Palermo vs Frosinone
0:0
May 9, 2025 Serie B
Palermo vs Frosinone
2:0
Nov 8, 2024 Serie B
Frosinone vs Palermo
1:1
Feb 18, 2023 Serie B
Palermo vs Frosinone
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Frosinone Compare

Top Goalscorer Calo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ranocchia F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frosinone 30 / 100
Palermo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frosinone Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frosinone found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Frosinone stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Palermo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Frosinone VS Palermo
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Frosinone

(Home)
01 Aug
Frosinone
2 : 2
Benevento
29 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0
Ascoli
22 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0
Frosinone U20
08 May
Frosinone
5 : 0
Mantova
Page 1 of 6

Palermo

(Away)
29 Jul
Palermo
1 : 1
Iraklis FC
25 Jul
Palermo
2 : 2
Nurnberg
22 Jul
Palermo
7 : 0
Paradiso
18 Jul
Ingolstadt
1 : 0
Palermo
15 Jul
Palermo
8 : 0
FC Gherdeina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)