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Froya vs Ardal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Pettersen D.
31' Event
Pettersen D.
53' Event
Berge A. J.

AI Match Summary

Froya in this Division 3 - Group 1 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Froya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Froya
15%
Draws
51%
Ardal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ardal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Froya have won more games recently than Ardal.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Ardal taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Froya Clean Sheet 10%
Ardal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Froya Ardal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 1
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 1.77 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.37 3.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Froya vs Ardal
4:0
Apr 27, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Ardal vs Froya
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Froya Compare

Top Goalscorer Pettersen D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Berge A. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Ardal Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Froya 10 / 100
Ardal 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Froya Ardal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ardal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ardal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Froya scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Froya went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Froya VS Ardal
1.38 Goals Scored 3.5
2 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Froya

(Home)
22 Aug
Froya
0 : 6
Sotra
27 Oct
Forde
2 : 1
Froya
20 Oct
Froya
3 : 0
Floro
05 Oct
OS TF
1 : 3
Froya
30 Sept
Froya
0 : 1
Haugesund 2
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Ardal

(Away)
27 Oct
Ardal
0 : 4
Sandviken
20 Oct
Askoy
3 : 0
Ardal
05 Oct
Ardal
11 : 2
Asane 2
28 Sept
Djerv 1919
3 : 4
Ardal
21 Sept
Ardal
6 : 1
Floro
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