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Fuente de Cantos vs Don Alvaro

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Mulero M.
27' Event
Calvo J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 game between Fuente de Cantos and Don Alvaro finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fuente de Cantos
6%
Draws
4%
Don Alvaro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fuente de Cantos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Don Alvaro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Fuente de Cantos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Fuente de Cantos Clean Sheet 68%
Don Alvaro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fuente de Cantos Don Alvaro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 10 9
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.75 0.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Fuente de Cantos vs Don Alvaro
1:1
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Alvaro vs Fuente de Cantos
0:2
Mar 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Fuente de Cantos vs Don Alvaro
1:1
Nov 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Alvaro vs Fuente de Cantos
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fuente de Cantos Compare

Top Goalscorer Calvo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Don Alvaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Mulero M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fuente de Cantos 95 / 100
Don Alvaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fuente de Cantos Don Alvaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Don Alvaro let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Fuente de Cantos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Don Alvaro's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fuente de Cantos VS Don Alvaro
0.75 Goals Scored 0.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fuente de Cantos

(Home)
14 Aug
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 5
AD Llerenense
12 May
Fuente de Cantos
3 : 3
Jaraiz
05 May
CF Trujillo
1 : 0
Fuente de Cantos
27 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
0 : 0
CD Coria
21 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 2
Fuente de Cantos
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Don Alvaro

(Away)
26 Jul
Don Alvaro
0 : 4
AD Merida
20 Jul
Don Alvaro
0 : 4
AD Merida
10 May
Pueblonuevo
2 : 2
Don Alvaro
05 May
Don Alvaro
0 : 1
RCP Valverdeno
28 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Don Alvaro
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34237471:1376
2CD Coria341912358:2069
3CD Azuaga341711648:3162
4SP Villafranca341510945:2655
5Moralo341581155:4453
6Castuera341571249:3752
7CD Diocesano341471350:4649
8Jaraiz341441651:5246
9Pueblonuevo341271535:4543
10CD Calamonte349151040:5242
11Jerez CF341191441:5242
12Olivenza FC3410111332:4141
13Arroyo3410111333:3941
14CF Trujillo348141230:3838
15Don Alvaro347111630:5032
16RCP Valverdeno34881837:5832
17Montehermoso347111633:6332
18Fuente de Cantos344131728:5925
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 (Play Offs)