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Stadium Background

Fuente de Cantos vs Merida UD

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fuente de Cantos in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fuente de Cantos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Fuente de Cantos
35%
Draws
47%
Merida UD
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Merida UD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Merida UD have won more games recently than Fuente de Cantos.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Merida UD taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Fuente de Cantos Clean Sheet 20%
Merida UD Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fuente de Cantos Merida UD
Matches Played 44 32
Wins 11 22
Draws 11 7
Losses 22 3
Goals Scored 1.18 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Fuente de Cantos vs Merida UD
1:1
Dec 9, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Fuente de Cantos
3:0
Mar 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Fuente de Cantos vs Merida UD
2:1
Oct 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Fuente de Cantos
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fuente de Cantos 16 / 100
Merida UD 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fuente de Cantos Merida UD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merida UD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fuente de Cantos's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 44 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Fuente de Cantos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Merida UD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fuente de Cantos VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fuente de Cantos

(Home)
14 Aug
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 5
AD Llerenense
12 May
Fuente de Cantos
3 : 3
Jaraiz
05 May
CF Trujillo
1 : 0
Fuente de Cantos
27 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
0 : 0
CD Coria
21 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 2
Fuente de Cantos
Page 1 of 9

Merida UD

(Away)
22 Jun
Langreo
1 : 0
Merida UD
15 Jun
Merida UD
0 : 0
Langreo
08 Jun
Merida UD
1 : 1
AD San Juan
31 May
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Merida UD
25 May
Merida UD
2 : 0
Real Avila
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Extremadura UD 38 27 8 3 75:14 89
2 UD Badajoz 38 24 8 6 67:24 80
3 Don Benito 38 23 10 5 55:23 79
4 Diter Zafra 38 22 11 5 57:23 77
5 Jerez CF 38 16 11 11 51:37 59
6 Merida UD 38 15 11 12 47:38 56
7 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 15 10 13 50:38 55
8 UP Plasencia 38 15 10 13 55:47 55
9 Santa Amalia 38 15 8 15 52:54 53
10 CD Coria 38 14 9 15 47:48 51
11 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 14 6 18 44:58 48
12 Pueblonuevo 38 11 10 17 41:60 43
13 Miajadas 38 12 7 19 40:56 43
14 RCP Valverdeno 38 11 9 18 40:56 42
15 Hernan Cortes 38 11 8 19 36:64 41
16 Cacereno II 38 10 10 18 48:57 40
17 Fuente de Cantos 38 10 9 19 42:68 39
18 Moralo 38 7 17 14 33:52 38
19 Emerita Augusta 38 8 7 23 44:77 31
20 Valdelacalzada 38 7 7 24 35:65 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)