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Fuentes vs Binefar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Sola G.
36' Event
Samitier Labrador R.
62' Event
Samitier Labrador R.

AI Match Summary

Binefar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Binefar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Fuentes
30%
Draws
31%
Binefar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fuentes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Binefar have won more games recently than Fuentes.
  • Fuentes are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Binefar have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Fuentes Clean Sheet 11%
Binefar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fuentes Binefar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.6 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fuentes vs Binefar
0:3
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Fuentes
2:0
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Fuentes
1:0
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fuentes vs Binefar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fuentes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Binefar Compare

Top Goalscorer Samitier Labrador R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sola G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fuentes 40 / 100
Binefar 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fuentes Binefar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Binefar let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fuentes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Binefar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Binefar
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fuentes

(Home)
10 May
Fuentes
0 : 3
Epila
04 May
Tamarite
1 : 1
Fuentes
27 Apr
Fuentes
0 : 0
La Almunia
20 Apr
Fuentes
1 : 0
Utrillas
12 Apr
Calamocha
2 : 1
Fuentes
Page 1 of 6

Binefar

(Away)
27 Sept
Binefar
2 : 2
CD Caspe
19 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 1
Binefar
16 Sept
Terrassa
4 : 0
Binefar
13 Sept
Binefar
2 : 3
Tamarite
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0
Porreres
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)