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Fuerte San Francisco vs 11 Deportivo

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Murillo M.
85' Event
Anzora C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

11 Deportivo in this Primera Division 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored 11 Deportivo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Fuerte San Francisco
30%
Draws
23%
11 Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fuerte San Francisco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to 11 Deportivo lately — more wins on the board than Fuerte San Francisco.
  • Fuerte San Francisco are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Fuerte San Francisco Clean Sheet 68%
11 Deportivo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fuerte San Francisco 11 Deportivo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 10 9
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.84 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs 11 Deportivo
0:2
Jan 19, 2025 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Fuerte San Francisco
1:2
Nov 10, 2024 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Fuerte San Francisco
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs 11 Deportivo
1:0
May 4, 2024 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs 11 Deportivo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fuerte San Francisco Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

11 Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Murillo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fuerte San Francisco 86 / 100
11 Deportivo 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fuerte San Francisco 11 Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fuerte San Francisco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

11 Deportivo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: 11 Deportivo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Fuerte San Francisco's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Fuerte San Francisco VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fuerte San Francisco

(Home)
27 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 0
Fuerte San Francisco
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
19 Sept
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
13 Sept
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 2
Municipal Limeno
05 Sept
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
FAS
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11 Deportivo

(Away)
03 May
11 Deportivo
0 : 2
Alianza FC
26 Apr
Aguila
3 : 1
11 Deportivo
24 Apr
11 Deportivo
1 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
17 Apr
11 Deportivo
2 : 2
FAS
13 Apr
11 Deportivo
0 : 1
Dragon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguila 20 13 4 3 37:17 43
2 Luis Angel Firpo 20 11 6 3 34:16 39
3 Alianza FC 20 12 3 5 28:11 39
4 Metapan 20 9 8 3 22:13 35
5 Municipal Limeno 20 6 9 5 21:20 27
6 Cacahuatique 20 6 9 5 18:24 27
7 Fuerte San Francisco 20 6 6 8 15:20 24
8 FAS 20 5 7 8 17:23 22
9 Platense Municipal 20 5 5 10 18:25 20
10 Dragon 20 4 2 14 17:30 14
11 11 Deportivo 20 1 5 14 12:40 8
Promotion - Primera Division 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)