Sport Picks
Fuerte San Francisco vs Dragon
El Salvador
Primera Division 2024/2025 
Match Events
55'
55'
Ortiz C.
70'
70'
Rodriguez M.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Division 2024/2025 game between Fuerte San Francisco and Dragon finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fuerte San Francisco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Fuerte San Francisco come out ahead of Dragon on wins alone.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Fuerte San Francisco taking it.
- Regular Primera Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Fuerte San Francisco Clean Sheet 68%
Dragon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fuerte San Francisco | Dragon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 11, 2026 Copa Presidente
Dragon vs Fuerte San Francisco
3:3
Apr 6, 2025 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Dragon
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Primera Division
Dragon vs Fuerte San Francisco
0:1
Nov 17, 2024 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Dragon
3:1
Sep 15, 2024 Primera Division
Dragon vs Fuerte San Francisco
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fuerte San Francisco Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Dragon Compare
Top Goalscorer Ortiz C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fuerte San Francisco 95 / 100
Dragon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fuerte San Francisco Dragon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fuerte San Francisco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Dragon conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Fuerte San Francisco found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Fuerte San Francisco went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fuerte San Francisco VS Dragon
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 4.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Fuerte San Francisco
(Home) 15 Aug
Fuerte San Francisco
1 : 0 Metapan
09 Aug
Cacahuatique
0 : 0 Fuerte San Francisco
01 Aug
Fuerte San Francisco
2 : 2 Inter Santa Tecla
30 Jul
Luis Angel Firpo
4 : 0 Fuerte San Francisco
26 Jul
Fuerte San Francisco
1 : 1 Platense Municipal
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
Fuerte San Francisco
1 : 0 Metapan
01 Aug
Fuerte San Francisco
2 : 2 Inter Santa Tecla
26 Jul
Fuerte San Francisco
1 : 1 Platense Municipal
01 May
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1 Alianza FC
21 Apr
Fuerte San Francisco
1 : 0 Platense Municipal
Page 1 of 4
Dragon
(Away) 22 Apr
FAS
4 : 1 Dragon
07 Apr
Dragon
1 : 5 FAS
11 Mar
Dragon
3 : 3 Fuerte San Francisco
26 Feb
Racing de Gualuca
0 : 1 Dragon
11 Feb
Dragon
1 : 4 Aguila
Page 1 of 6
22 Apr
FAS
4 : 1 Dragon
26 Feb
Racing de Gualuca
0 : 1 Dragon
13 Apr
11 Deportivo
0 : 1 Dragon
06 Apr
Fuerte San Francisco
1 : 1 Dragon
26 Mar
Aguila
4 : 1 Dragon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguila | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 43 |
| 2 | Luis Angel Firpo | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 34:16 | 39 |
| 3 | Alianza FC | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 28:11 | 39 |
| 4 | Metapan | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 22:13 | 35 |
| 5 | Municipal Limeno | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 21:20 | 27 |
| 6 | Cacahuatique | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 18:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Fuerte San Francisco | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 15:20 | 24 |
| 8 | FAS | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 17:23 | 22 |
| 9 | Platense Municipal | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 18:25 | 20 |
| 10 | Dragon | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 17:30 | 14 |
| 11 | 11 Deportivo | 20 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12:40 | 8 |
Promotion - Primera Division 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)
