Sport Picks
Fuerte San Francisco vs Inca Aruba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
El Salvador
Primera Division 
AI Match Summary
Fuerte San Francisco host Inca Aruba in the Primera Division. This one's hard to separate. Fuerte San Francisco have averaged 0.92 scored and 1.6 conceded recently, against Inca Aruba's 0.72 scored and 1.78 conceded. Past meetings favor Inca Aruba slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.94, favoring Inca Aruba. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Fuerte San Francisco average 0.92 goals a game right now, well clear of Inca Aruba's 0.72.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Fuerte San Francisco taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fuerte San Francisco | Inca Aruba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 18 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.92 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Inca Aruba let in goals in 83% of their last 18 matches.
Fuerte San Francisco's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 25 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Away concern: Inca Aruba has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fuerte San Francisco
(Home)Inca Aruba
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luis Angel Firpo | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 30:13 | 33 |
| 2 | FAS | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 29:19 | 32 |
| 3 | Metapan | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 24:19 | 31 |
| 4 | Aguila | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34:24 | 30 |
| 5 | Inter Santa Tecla | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 24:16 | 27 |
| 6 | Platense Municipal | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:20 | 27 |
| 7 | Alianza FC | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 23:22 | 23 |
| 8 | Municipal Limeno | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27:27 | 22 |
| 9 | Atletico Balboa | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17:28 | 17 |
| 10 | Cacahuatique | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 19:29 | 16 |
| 11 | Inca Aruba | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 13:32 | 16 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | 12 |
