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Fuerza Amarilla vs America de Quito

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2020 Estadio 9 de Mayo
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Orovio J.
44' Event
Castro M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Fuerza Amarilla
11%
Draws
80%
America de Quito
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: America de Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • America de Quito have won more games recently than Fuerza Amarilla.
  • Model gives America de Quito a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Fuerza Amarilla Clean Sheet 22%
America de Quito Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fuerza Amarilla America de Quito
Matches Played 16 31
Wins 2 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2020 Serie B
Fuerza Amarilla vs America de Quito
1:1
Nov 8, 2020 Serie B
Fuerza Amarilla vs America de Quito
0:0
Jul 12, 2020 Serie B
America de Quito vs Fuerza Amarilla
0:0
Mar 1, 2020 Serie B
America de Quito vs Fuerza Amarilla
2:1
Oct 20, 2019 Liga Pro
America de Quito vs Fuerza Amarilla
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fuerza Amarilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Orovio J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

America de Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fuerza Amarilla 13 / 100
America de Quito 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fuerza Amarilla America de Quito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America de Quito let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fuerza Amarilla stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Fuerza Amarilla found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (16 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS America de Quito
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1896327:1633
2Manta1895426:1832
3America de Quito1884620:1428
4Atletico Porteno1875615:1526
5Chacaritas1858523:2623
6Gualaceo1864821:2122
7Independiente Juniors1848619:2420
8Atletico Santo Domingo1848612:1920
9Fuerza Amarilla1839614:1918
10Santa Rita1837819:2416