Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fujieda MYFC vs Matsumoto Yamaga

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Fujieda soccer stadium, Fujieda
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Omori K. In: Nakagawa S.
Out: Omori K.
59'
Saso K.
60' Event
Kikui Y.

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Fujieda MYFC and Matsumoto Yamaga finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fujieda MYFC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Fujieda MYFC
39%
Draws
31%
Matsumoto Yamaga
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Fujieda MYFC haven't matched Matsumoto Yamaga's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fujieda MYFC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Fujieda MYFC Clean Sheet 16%
Matsumoto Yamaga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fujieda MYFC Matsumoto Yamaga
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 3 1
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 J2/J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fujieda MYFC
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 J2/J3 League
Fujieda MYFC vs Matsumoto Yamaga
2:0
Oct 9, 2022 J3 League
Fujieda MYFC vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1:0
Jun 11, 2022 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fujieda MYFC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fujieda MYFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kikui Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Matsumoto Yamaga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fujieda MYFC 30 / 100
Matsumoto Yamaga 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fujieda MYFC Matsumoto Yamaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FUJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matsumoto Yamaga let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Fujieda MYFC found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Away concern: Matsumoto Yamaga has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fujieda MYFC VS Matsumoto Yamaga
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fujieda MYFC

(Home)
21 Jul
Urawa Reds
2 : 0
Fujieda MYFC
18 Jul
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1
Fujieda MYFC
06 Jun
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 0
Ehime
30 May
SC Sagamihara
4 : 3
Fujieda MYFC
23 May
Fujieda MYFC
0 : 1
Iwaki
Page 1 of 6

Matsumoto Yamaga

(Away)
06 Jun
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 2
Nara Club
31 May
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
24 May
Matsumoto Yamaga
3 : 4
Fukushima United
17 May
Iwaki
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
10 May
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1
Fujieda MYFC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai18160237:1543
2Blaublitz18110723:1635
3Shonan Bellmare18110728:2031
4Yokohama FC18100836:2829
5SC Sagamihara1890933:3628
6Thespakusatsu Gunma18701127:3923
7Montedio Yamagata18801022:2522
8Tochigi City18701122:3521
9Vanraure17501216:2318
10Tochigi SC17501224:3117
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kofu17110620:1233
2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo18110728:2231
3Iwaki18110726:2031
4Omiya Ardija18100839:2930
5Fujieda MYFC1890924:2330
6Gifu1790823:2527
7Matsumoto Yamaga18801033:2526
8Iwata1890920:2525
9Fukushima United18601230:4318
10Nagano Parceiro18501317:3616
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toyama18130540:2638
2Albirex Niigata18120624:1935
3Tokushima18110738:2332
4Kochi United18100825:2330
5Ehime1890926:2028
6Kanazawa18100820:2327
7Nara Club18701127:3621
8FC Osaka18601218:2320
9Imabari18601215:2120
10Kamatamare Sanuki18601215:3419
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tegevajaro Miyazaki18150335:1347
2Kagoshima United18120627:1633
3Sagan Tosu18100826:1832
4Renofa Yamaguchi18100827:2429
5Kumamoto1890921:2127
6Gainare Tottori18100824:2527
7Oita Trinita18701119:2022
8Reilac Shiga18701116:2921
9Ryukyu18601217:2817
10Giravanz Kitakyushu18401417:3515
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)