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Fukushima United vs Iwata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Toho, Fukushima
Fukushima United Logo

Fukushima United

4 - 2
FT
Iwata Logo

Iwata

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Fujiwara K.
13'
Chiba T.
20' Event
Ashibe K.
Assist: Uehata U.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Fukushima United and Iwata finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fukushima United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Fukushima United
15%
Draws
57%
Iwata
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iwata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Fukushima United's 2.07 goals per match outpaces what Iwata have produced (1.39).
  • Model gives Iwata a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Iwata here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Fukushima United Clean Sheet 10%
Iwata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fukushima United Iwata
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 1 1
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 2.07 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 J2/J3 League
Fukushima United vs Iwata
4:2
Feb 28, 2026 J2/J3 League
Iwata vs Fukushima United
1:0
Oct 12, 2011 Emperors Cup
Iwata vs Fukushima United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fukushima United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ashibe K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uehata U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Iwata Compare

Top Goalscorer Matsubara K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Peixoto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fukushima United 10 / 100
Iwata 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fukushima United Iwata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iwata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fukushima United's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Iwata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Iwata registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fukushima United VS Iwata
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fukushima United

(Home)
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2
Fukushima United
29 Sept
Fukushima United
0 : 7
Mito
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3
Nagano Parceiro
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1
Fukushima United
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2
Kumamoto
Page 1 of 6

Iwata

(Away)
04 Oct
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1
Iwata
29 Sept
Iwata
4 : 2
Chiba
26 Sept
Iwata
1 : 2
Vanraure
19 Sept
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Iwata
12 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Iwata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)