Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Toho

Fukushima United

1 - 3

Matsumoto Yamaga

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Sub

Ashibe K. In: Shimizu K.

Out: Ashibe K.

33'

Oda I.

Assist: Murakoshi K.

46'

Sub

Harigaya T. In: Kano K.

Out: Harigaya T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Matsumoto Yamaga in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matsumoto Yamaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Fukushima United

33%

Draws

27%

Matsumoto Yamaga

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Fukushima United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Fukushima United has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Matsumoto Yamaga.
Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Fukushima United.
League standings and seasonal metrics in J2/J3 League provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Fukushima United Clean Sheet 14%

Matsumoto Yamaga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fukushima United	Matsumoto Yamaga
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	11
Draws	0	1
Losses	16	18
Goals Scored	1.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 J2/J3 League

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

3:4

Mar 29, 2026 J2/J3 League

Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Oct 5, 2025 J3 League

Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Jun 7, 2025 J3 League

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Dec 1, 2024 J3 League

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fukushima United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Matsumoto Yamaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Oda I.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Yasunaga R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fukushima United 39 / 100

Matsumoto Yamaga 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fukushima United Matsumoto Yamaga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FUK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fukushima United scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Matsumoto Yamaga let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Fukushima United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Matsumoto Yamaga lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fukushima United VS Matsumoto Yamaga

1.88 Goals Scored 1.38

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15