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Fulda-Lehnerz vs Erfurt

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Ugondu O. C.
71' Event
Lucas Cini

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Fulda-Lehnerz and Erfurt finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erfurt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Fulda-Lehnerz
44%
Draws
20%
Erfurt
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Fulda-Lehnerz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Fulda-Lehnerz Clean Sheet 20%
Erfurt Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fulda-Lehnerz Erfurt
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.75 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Fulda-Lehnerz vs Erfurt
0:2
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Erfurt vs Fulda-Lehnerz
2:9
Jan 17, 2025 Club Friendly
Fulda-Lehnerz vs Erfurt
2:1
Jul 30, 2022 Club Friendly
Erfurt vs Fulda-Lehnerz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fulda-Lehnerz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Erfurt Compare

Top Goalscorer Ugondu O. C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Cini
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fulda-Lehnerz 36 / 100
Erfurt 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fulda-Lehnerz Erfurt

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Erfurt conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Fulda-Lehnerz scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Recent resilience: Fulda-Lehnerz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fulda-Lehnerz VS Erfurt
1.75 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%