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Fulda-Lehnerz vs Freiberg

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Grobelnik G.
90' Event
Zie M.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 game between Fulda-Lehnerz and Freiberg finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Freiberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Fulda-Lehnerz
35%
Draws
58%
Freiberg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Freiberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Freiberg come out ahead of Fulda-Lehnerz on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Freiberg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Fulda-Lehnerz Clean Sheet 20%
Freiberg Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fulda-Lehnerz Freiberg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.79 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Fulda-Lehnerz vs Freiberg
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs Fulda-Lehnerz
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Fulda-Lehnerz vs Freiberg
1:2
Sep 14, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs Fulda-Lehnerz
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Fulda-Lehnerz vs Freiberg
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fulda-Lehnerz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Freiberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Grobelnik G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zie M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fulda-Lehnerz 10 / 100
Freiberg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fulda-Lehnerz Freiberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freiberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fulda-Lehnerz scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Freiberg let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Fulda-Lehnerz went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fulda-Lehnerz VS Freiberg
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fulda-Lehnerz

(Home)
03 Oct
FC 08 Homburg
1 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
26 Sept
VfR Mannheim
5 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
19 Sept
Fulda-Lehnerz
2 : 3
Freiburg II
12 Sept
Stutt. Kickers
2 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
09 Sept
Fulda-Lehnerz
1 : 2
Eintracht Frankfurt II
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Freiberg

(Away)
03 Oct
Freiberg
2 : 2
TSV Steinbach Haiger
26 Sept
Freiberg
2 : 2
Stutt. Kickers
19 Sept
Aalen
2 : 3
Freiberg
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0
Mainz II
08 Sept
Sandhausen
0 : 0
Freiberg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 20 8 6 86:43 68
2 Freiberg 34 18 8 8 68:38 62
3 FSV Frankfurt 34 16 9 9 64:48 57
4 FC 08 Homburg 34 15 11 8 71:42 56
5 TSV Steinbach Haiger 34 16 8 10 78:58 56
6 Kassel 34 15 9 10 62:51 54
7 Stutt. Kickers 34 17 3 14 51:44 54
8 Sandhausen 34 16 6 12 53:56 54
9 Mainz II 34 14 11 9 52:45 53
10 Fulda-Lehnerz 34 13 10 11 51:44 49
11 Freiburg II 34 14 6 14 74:73 48
12 Astoria Walldorf 34 13 8 13 64:65 47
13 Eintracht Trier 34 13 8 13 48:52 47
14 Kickers Offenbach 34 11 10 13 57:58 43
15 Alzenau 34 7 6 21 45:74 27
16 Schott Mainz 34 7 4 23 40:83 25
17 Balingen 34 6 7 21 38:87 25
18 Bahlinger 34 4 10 20 34:75 22
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