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Fulham vs Bournemouth

England England

Premier League 2025/2026 Craven Cottage, London
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Christie R.
43'
Sub
Evanilson In: Adams T.
Out: Evanilson
45'
Andersen J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Fulham and Bournemouth finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bournemouth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Fulham
33%
Draws
40%
Bournemouth
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bournemouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Fulham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bournemouth are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Fulham Clean Sheet 16%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fulham Bournemouth
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 14
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Premier League
Fulham vs Bournemouth
0:1
Oct 3, 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Fulham
3:1
Apr 14, 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Fulham
1:0
Dec 29, 2024 Premier League
Fulham vs Bournemouth
2:2
Feb 10, 2024 Premier League
Fulham vs Bournemouth
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fulham Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Bournemouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Rayan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fulham 28 / 100
Bournemouth 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fulham Bournemouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fulham found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Bournemouth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Fulham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fulham VS Bournemouth
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fulham

(Home)
28 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Fulham
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2
Norwich
24 May
Fulham
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd
17 May
Wolves
1 : 1
Fulham
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1
Bournemouth
Page 1 of 6

Bournemouth

(Away)
24 Jul
Bournemouth
4 : 1
St. Pauli
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1
Bournemouth
19 May
Bournemouth
1 : 1
Manchester City
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1
Bournemouth
03 May
Bournemouth
3 : 0
Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal38267571:2785
2Manchester City38239677:3578
3Manchester United382011769:5071
4Aston Villa381981156:4965
5Liverpool381791263:5360
6Bournemouth381318758:5457
7Sunderland3814121242:4854
8Brighton3814111352:4653
9Brentford3814111355:5253
10Chelsea3814101458:5252
11Fulham381571647:5152
12Newcastle Utd381471753:5549
13Everton3813101547:5049
14Leeds3811141349:5647
15Crystal Palace3811121541:5145
16Nottingham3811111648:5144
17Tottenham3810111748:5741
18West Ham381091946:6539
19Burnley384102438:7522
20Wolves383112427:6820
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)