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Fulham vs Bournemouth

England England

Premier League 2025/2026 Craven Cottage, London
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Christie R.
43'
Sub
Evanilson In: Adams T.
Out: Evanilson
45'
Andersen J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Fulham and Bournemouth finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bournemouth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Fulham
35%
Draws
37%
Bournemouth
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bournemouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Bournemouth carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Fulham Clean Sheet 10%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fulham Bournemouth
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 14
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.17 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Premier League
Fulham vs Bournemouth
0:1
Oct 3, 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Fulham
3:1
Apr 14, 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Fulham
1:0
Dec 29, 2024 Premier League
Fulham vs Bournemouth
2:2
Feb 10, 2024 Premier League
Fulham vs Bournemouth
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fulham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Bournemouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Rayan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fulham 34 / 100
Bournemouth 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fulham Bournemouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bournemouth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fulham found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Bournemouth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Fulham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fulham VS Bournemouth
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fulham

(Home)
15 Sept
West Ham
2 : 3
Fulham
12 Sept
Liverpool
0 : 0
Fulham
05 Sept
Fulham
2 : 3
Crystal Palace
30 Aug
Sunderland
1 : 0
Fulham
27 Aug
Fulham
3 : 0
AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 6

Bournemouth

(Away)
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2
Bournemouth
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2
Brentford
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0
Lincoln City
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2
Bournemouth
29 Aug
Bournemouth
1 : 1
Everton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71:27 85
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 77:35 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 69:50 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56:49 65
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63:53 60
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58:54 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42:48 54
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 52:46 53
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55:52 53
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58:52 52
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47:51 52
12 Newcastle Utd 38 14 7 17 53:55 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47:50 49
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 49:56 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41:51 45
16 Nottingham 38 11 11 16 48:51 44
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 48:57 41
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 46:65 39
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 38:75 22
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 27:68 20
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)