Sport Picks
Fulham vs Bristol City
England
EFL Cup 2025/2026 Craven Cottage, London 
Match Events
8'
8'
Tanner G.
Own Goal
14'
14'
Sub
Stokes J. In: Mehmeti A.
Out: Stokes J.
21'
21'
Jimenez R.
Assist: Reed H.
AI Match Summary
Fulham in this EFL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fulham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Fulham lately — more wins on the board than Bristol City.
- 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Fulham have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Fulham, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fulham Clean Sheet 16%
Bristol City Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fulham | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 27, 2025 EFL Cup
Fulham vs Bristol City
2:0
Jan 15, 2022 Championship
Fulham vs Bristol City
6:2
Jan 8, 2022 FA Cup
Bristol City vs Fulham
0:1
Sep 25, 2021 Championship
Bristol City vs Fulham
1:1
Mar 7, 2020 Championship
Bristol City vs Fulham
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fulham Compare
Top Goalscorer Jimenez R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Bristol City Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fulham 36 / 100
Bristol City 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fulham Bristol City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fulham's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Bristol City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Fulham remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Fulham VS Bristol City
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Fulham
(Home) 07 Aug
Fulham
1 : 2 Crystal Palace
01 Aug
SC Farense
1 : 2 Fulham
28 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Fulham
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2 Norwich
24 May
Fulham
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Fulham
1 : 2 Crystal Palace
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2 Norwich
24 May
Fulham
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1 Bournemouth
25 Apr
Fulham
1 : 0 Aston Villa
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Bristol City
(Away) 06 Aug
Bristol City
0 : 1 Walsall
01 Aug
Exeter
1 : 1 Bristol City
01 Aug
Plymouth
0 : 0 Bristol City
29 Jul
Bristol City
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
29 Jul
Forest Green
3 : 2 Bristol City
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Exeter
1 : 1 Bristol City
01 Aug
Plymouth
0 : 0 Bristol City
29 Jul
Forest Green
3 : 2 Bristol City
25 Jul
Swindon
1 : 3 Bristol City
17 Jul
Stockport County
2 : 0 Bristol City
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
