Sport Picks
Fulham vs Bristol City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
EFL Cup 2025/2026 Craven Cottage, London 
Match Events
8'
8'
Tanner G.
Own Goal
14'
14'
Sub
Stokes J. In: Mehmeti A.
Out: Stokes J.
21'
21'
Jimenez R.
Assist: Reed H.
AI Match Summary
Fulham in this EFL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bristol City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Bristol City average 1.21 goals a game right now, well clear of Fulham's 1.14.
- Fulham are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Fulham, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Fulham Clean Sheet 18%
Bristol City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fulham | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 27, 2025 EFL Cup
Fulham vs Bristol City
2:0
Jan 15, 2022 Championship
Fulham vs Bristol City
6:2
Jan 8, 2022 FA Cup
Bristol City vs Fulham
0:1
Sep 25, 2021 Championship
Bristol City vs Fulham
1:1
Mar 7, 2020 Championship
Bristol City vs Fulham
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fulham Compare
Top Goalscorer Jimenez R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Bristol City Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fulham 41 / 100
Bristol City 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fulham Bristol City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fulham's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Bristol City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Fulham remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Fulham VS Bristol City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Fulham
(Home) 20 Sept
Fulham
1 : 1 Manchester United
15 Sept
West Ham
2 : 3 Fulham
12 Sept
Liverpool
0 : 0 Fulham
05 Sept
Fulham
2 : 3 Crystal Palace
30 Aug
Sunderland
1 : 0 Fulham
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Fulham
1 : 1 Manchester United
05 Sept
Fulham
2 : 3 Crystal Palace
27 Aug
Fulham
3 : 0 AFC Wimbledon
24 Aug
Fulham
2 : 3 Chelsea
15 Aug
Fulham
1 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 3
Bristol City
(Away) 03 Oct
Crystal Palace
0 : 2 Bristol City
18 Sept
Bristol City
1 : 0 Watford
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1 Lincoln City
12 Sept
Southampton
4 : 1 Bristol City
05 Sept
Burnley
1 : 2 Bristol City
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Crystal Palace
0 : 2 Bristol City
12 Sept
Southampton
4 : 1 Bristol City
05 Sept
Burnley
1 : 2 Bristol City
01 Sept
Preston
1 : 3 Bristol City
22 Aug
Birmingham
2 : 2 Bristol City
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
