Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Furstenwalde vs Rathenow

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Neal S.
5' Event
Leroy J.
69' Event
Kabuya J.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2023/2024 game between Furstenwalde and Rathenow finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rathenow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Furstenwalde
15%
Draws
85%
Rathenow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rathenow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Rathenow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rathenow's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Furstenwalde Clean Sheet 10%
Rathenow Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Furstenwalde Rathenow
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 1 7
Draws 2 9
Losses 26 11
Goals Scored 0.69 1.19
Goals Conceded 3.28 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Furstenwalde vs Rathenow
1:3
Sep 17, 2023 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Rathenow vs Furstenwalde
4:1
Apr 28, 2023 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Furstenwalde vs Rathenow
3:2
Nov 5, 2022 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Rathenow vs Furstenwalde
0:3
May 8, 2022 Regionalliga Nordost
Rathenow vs Furstenwalde
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Furstenwalde Compare

Top Goalscorer Saied U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Rathenow Compare

Top Goalscorer Neal S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leroy J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Furstenwalde 14 / 100
Rathenow 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Furstenwalde Rathenow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rathenow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rathenow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Furstenwalde scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Rathenow registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Furstenwalde VS Rathenow
1 Goals Scored 1.5
7 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Furstenwalde

(Home)
18 Jul
Polonia Slubice
7 : 1
Furstenwalde
08 Jun
Furstenwalde
1 : 2
SC Staaken
02 Jun
Mahlsdorf
4 : 1
Furstenwalde
17 May
Furstenwalde
0 : 2
TB Berlin
05 May
Furstenwalde
0 : 4
Rostocker FC
Page 1 of 6

Rathenow

(Away)
28 Aug
Rathenow
2 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
15 Aug
Mahlsdorf
1 : 0
Rathenow
08 Aug
Rathenow
0 : 0
Berliner AK 07
18 Jul
Rathenow
0 : 3
Ludwigsfelder
15 Jul
Rathenow
1 : 3
Brandenburger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Zehlendorf 28 22 5 1 102:29 71
2 Lichtenberg 28 22 4 2 87:18 70
3 Sparta Lichtenberg 28 16 5 7 73:48 53
4 Mahlsdorf 28 14 4 10 52:43 46
5 TSG Neustrelitz 28 13 4 11 55:46 43
6 TB Berlin 28 11 8 9 49:48 41
7 TUS Makkabi 28 10 9 9 44:42 39
8 SV Tasmania Berlin 28 10 7 11 47:44 37
9 Wismar 28 10 6 12 47:52 36
10 Rathenow 28 9 7 12 46:55 34
11 Rsv Eintracht 28 10 3 15 49:66 33
12 SC Staaken 28 10 2 16 43:74 32
13 Dynamo Schwerin 28 8 4 16 43:62 28
14 Rostocker FC 28 7 2 19 43:88 23
15 Furstenwalde 28 2 2 24 22:87 8
16 CFC Hertha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)