Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Furstenwalde vs Sparta Lichtenberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Matzke J.
35' Event
Brinkmann Y.
42' Event
Karupovic G.

AI Match Summary

Sparta Lichtenberg in this Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Lichtenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Furstenwalde
20%
Draws
80%
Sparta Lichtenberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sparta Lichtenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sparta Lichtenberg lately — more wins on the board than Furstenwalde.
  • Win probability leans Sparta Lichtenberg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42.8%
Furstenwalde Clean Sheet 10%
Sparta Lichtenberg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Furstenwalde Sparta Lichtenberg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 1 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 26 14
Goals Scored 0.69 2.37
Goals Conceded 3.28 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Furstenwalde vs Sparta Lichtenberg
1:3
Oct 8, 2023 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Sparta Lichtenberg vs Furstenwalde
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Furstenwalde Compare

Top Goalscorer Matzke J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sparta Lichtenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Brinkmann Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Karupovic G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Furstenwalde 10 / 100
Sparta Lichtenberg 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Furstenwalde Sparta Lichtenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Lichtenberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Lichtenberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Furstenwalde's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Away concern: Sparta Lichtenberg has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Furstenwalde VS Sparta Lichtenberg
1 Goals Scored 2.5
7 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Furstenwalde

(Home)
18 Jul
Polonia Slubice
7 : 1
Furstenwalde
08 Jun
Furstenwalde
1 : 2
SC Staaken
02 Jun
Mahlsdorf
4 : 1
Furstenwalde
17 May
Furstenwalde
0 : 2
TB Berlin
05 May
Furstenwalde
0 : 4
Rostocker FC
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Sparta Lichtenberg

(Away)
13 Sept
Mahlsdorf
2 : 0
Sparta Lichtenberg
30 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 3
Berliner AK 07
16 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 1
FSV Schwerin
09 Aug
Reinickendorfer
1 : 1
Sparta Lichtenberg
02 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 2
Krieschow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Zehlendorf 28 22 5 1 102:29 71
2 Lichtenberg 28 22 4 2 87:18 70
3 Sparta Lichtenberg 28 16 5 7 73:48 53
4 Mahlsdorf 28 14 4 10 52:43 46
5 TSG Neustrelitz 28 13 4 11 55:46 43
6 TB Berlin 28 11 8 9 49:48 41
7 TUS Makkabi 28 10 9 9 44:42 39
8 SV Tasmania Berlin 28 10 7 11 47:44 37
9 Wismar 28 10 6 12 47:52 36
10 Rathenow 28 9 7 12 46:55 34
11 Rsv Eintracht 28 10 3 15 49:66 33
12 SC Staaken 28 10 2 16 43:74 32
13 Dynamo Schwerin 28 8 4 16 43:62 28
14 Rostocker FC 28 7 2 19 43:88 23
15 Furstenwalde 28 2 2 24 22:87 8
16 CFC Hertha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)