Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fylkir vs Afturelding - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Fylkisvöllur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Tyrfingsson G.
20' Event
Bjarkason O.
50' Event
Brink H. O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Fylkir
15%
Draws
48%
Afturelding
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afturelding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fylkir lately — more wins on the board than Afturelding.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Fylkir Clean Sheet 10%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fylkir Afturelding
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 21 19
Draws 2 3
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 2.47 2.93
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Division 1
Fylkir vs Afturelding
3:3
Jul 21, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Fylkir vs Afturelding
1:2
May 31, 2026 Division 1
Afturelding vs Fylkir
5:1
Sep 2, 2022 Division 1
Afturelding vs Fylkir
0:2
Jul 1, 2022 Division 1
Fylkir vs Afturelding
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fylkir Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyrfingsson G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leosson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Afturelding Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjarkason O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brink H. O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fylkir 34 / 100
Afturelding 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fylkir Afturelding

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afturelding Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fylkir found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (34 games).

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Afturelding has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Fylkir remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fylkir VS Afturelding
2.13 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fylkir

(Home)
19 Sept
Throttur
1 : 0
Fylkir
13 Sept
Fylkir
2 : 2
Kopavogur
09 Sept
Kopavogur
2 : 3
Fylkir
05 Sept
Kopavogur
2 : 1
Fylkir
28 Aug
Fylkir
3 : 1
Grotta
Page 1 of 7

Afturelding

(Away)
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
05 Sept
Njardvik
2 : 1
Afturelding
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
25 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Grotta
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)