Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fylkir vs Afturelding

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup Fylkisvöllur, Reykjavík
Tue, Jul 21, 2026
1 - 2
07:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Bjarnason G. In: Sigmarsson G.
Out: Bjarnason G.
16'
Helgason O.
45'
Andresson A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Fylkir
15%
Draws
57%
Afturelding
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afturelding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Afturelding haven't matched Fylkir's recent run of results.
  • Afturelding are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Fylkir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Afturelding, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Fylkir Clean Sheet 10%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fylkir Afturelding
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 21 18
Draws 1 2
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.35 2.67
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Fylkir vs Afturelding
1:2
May 31, 2026 Division 1
Afturelding vs Fylkir
5:1
Sep 2, 2022 Division 1
Afturelding vs Fylkir
0:2
Jul 1, 2022 Division 1
Fylkir vs Afturelding
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fylkir Compare

Top Goalscorer Gunnarsson T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Afturelding Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fylkir 14 / 100
Afturelding 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fylkir Afturelding

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fylkir scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Afturelding has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Fylkir went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fylkir VS Afturelding
2.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fylkir

(Home)
07 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
3 : 0
Fylkir
29 Jul
Fylkir
3 : 1
Volsungur
25 Jul
IR Reykjavik
2 : 0
Fylkir
21 Jul
Fylkir
1 : 2
Afturelding
17 Jul
Fylkir
4 : 1
Njardvik
Page 1 of 7

Afturelding

(Away)
07 Aug
Afturelding
4 : 1
Grindavik
29 Jul
Throttur
4 : 1
Afturelding
21 Jul
Fylkir
1 : 2
Afturelding
16 Jul
Afturelding
3 : 2
Leiknir Reykjavik
11 Jul
Volsungur
1 : 6
Afturelding
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 2
Neisti 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 7
Stokkseyri 3
Arbaer 1
Hafnir 0
Aegir -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 1
Reynir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
Olafsvik 3
Arborg 2
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 2
Haukar 3
KFR -
IH Hafnarfjordur -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Ellidi 9
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Alafoss 1
Fjolnir 4
KFG Gardabaer 2
Vidir 3
Kopavogur -
TBD -
BF 108 5
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 5
KB Breidholt 0
Spyrnir -
Sindri -
TBD -
KFA -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Smari 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 4
Hamar 2
Alftanes 5
Kria 2
SR Reykjavik 2
Kari 8
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Ymir 7
Falkar 0
KFS -
Thorlakur -
Tindastoll 3
Fjallabyggd 1
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Magni 3
Njardvik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 0
Selfoss 3
IBU 1
Augnablik 12
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/32-finals
Hottur / Huginn 5
Neisti 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 3
Arbaer 5
Aegir 2
Reynir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Throttur 3
Olafsvik 1
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 3
KFR 0
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 2
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fjolnir 2
Vidir 1
Kopavogur 4
BF 108 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir 6
KV Reykjavik 0
Sindri 0
KFA 1
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Smari 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 1
Alftanes 5
Kari 1
IR Reykjavik 2
Afturelding 3
Ymir 10
KFS 0
Tindastoll 3
Magni 1
Njardvik 5
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Selfoss 7
Augnablik 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/16-finals
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 5
Arbaer 1
Aegir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Breidablik 6
Akranes 4
Haukar 0
Grindavik 2
Keflavik 1
Fjolnir 3
Kopavogur 4
Fram 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 2
KFA 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
Vestri 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Grotta 1
Alftanes 0
Afturelding 6
Ymir 1
Tindastoll 0
Njardvik 1
Stjarnan 2
Selfoss 1
KR Reykjavik 4
Valur 2
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Aegir 2
Throttur 1
Breidablik 2
Akranes 3
Grindavik 2
Kopavogur 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 5
Hafnarfjordur 0
Vestri 0
Grotta 4
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 2
Stjarnan 2
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
Aegir 0
Breidablik 3
Akranes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 4
Grotta 2
Afturelding 3
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Fylkir 1
Afturelding 2
Final
Breidablik -
Afturelding -