Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fyllingen vs Sogndal

Norway Norway

NM Cup 2011
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
84' Event
Halvorsen O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Sogndal advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Fyllingen
15%
Draws
26%
Sogndal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fyllingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sogndal haven't matched Fyllingen's recent run of results.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Fyllingen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sogndal, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Fyllingen Clean Sheet 10%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fyllingen Sogndal
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.6 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2011 NM Cup
Fyllingen vs Sogndal
0:2
May 19, 2005 NM Cup
Fyllingen vs Sogndal
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fyllingen 29 / 100
Sogndal 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fyllingen Sogndal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fyllingen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sogndal has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Fyllingen found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fyllingen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fyllingen VS Sogndal
0 Goals Scored 2
4 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Fyllingen

(Home)
23 Aug
Fyllingen
0 : 4
Brann
12 May
Fyllingen
0 : 2
Sogndal
01 May
Fyllingen
2 : 1
Forde
13 Apr
Voss
0 : 5
Fyllingen
06 Apr
Fyllingen
3 : 2
Baune
Page 1 of 6

Sogndal

(Away)
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1
Sogndal
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
13 Sept
Sogndal
1 : 1
Strommen
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0
Sogndal
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3
Stromsgodset
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fredrikstad 6
Korsvoll 0
Follo 0
Nesodden 2
Nybergsund 1
Ottestad 0
Lillehammer 0
Lorenskog 1
Kongsvinger 10
Fjellhamar 0
Valdres 1
Skeid 3
Mandalskameratene 2
Algard 1
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Odds BK 4
Honefoss 5
Drammen 1
Brumunddal 2
KFUM Oslo 3
Hasle-Loren 4
Moss 2
Holmlia 0
Stabaek 1
Tiller 4
Charlottenlund 0
Steinkjer 1
Levanger 2
Traeff 5
Bergsoy 1
Eidsvag 0
Molde 11
Viking 4
Egersund 0
Bryne 1
Staal Jorpeland 2
Vidar 2
Kopervik 1
Brodd 0
Sandnes Ulf 1
Randaberg 2
V. Haugesund 0
Fram 0
Flekkeroy 5
Bjarg 4
Nest-Sotra 0
Vaulen 0
Haugesund 10
Sogndal 6
Saga 2
Forde 1
Fyllingen 2
Orn 5
Pors 4
Ullern 0
Asker 2
Asane 3
Stord 1
Vadmyra 1
Lov Ham 3
Fana 3
Austevoll 1
Tertnes 0
Brann 3
Aalesund 8
Stranda 0
Herd 0
Maloy 4
Kristiansund 1
Kil/Hemne 0
Volda 1
Hodd 4
Kjelsas 2
Elverum 1
Oldenborg 1
Valerenga 12
Baerum 5
Ull/Kisa 1
Sprint-Jeloy 0
Sarpsborg 08 1
Lillestrom 3
Funnefoss/Vormsund 0
Frigg 1
Gjovik 3
Kvik Halden 1
Drobak-Frogn 0
Husoy/Foynland 0
Sandefjord 5
Byasen 2
Mo IL 1
Moelven 0
Ham-Kam 3
Verdal 3
Nardo 0
Alvdal 0
Rosenborg 7
Alta 2
Harstad 0
HIF Stein 1
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Stjordals Blink 2
Strindheim 1
Kattem 0
Ranheim 4
Bodo/Glimt 4
Sortland 0
Floya 0
Skarp 1
Senja 3
Mjolner 2
Finnsnes 3
Tromso 6
Stromsgodset 8
Kongsberg 0
Raufoss 2
Birkebeineren 3
Tonsberg 3
Skarphedin 2
Uradd 1
Mjondalen 7
Notodden 3
Jevnaker 1
Skedsmo 1
Strommen 3
Vindbjart 3
Sogne 2
Arendal 2
Start 5
1/32-finals
Fredrikstad 3
Nesodden 0
Nybergsund 3
Lorenskog 5
Kongsvinger 4
Skeid 3
Mandalskameratene 0
Odds BK 2
Honefoss 2
KFUM Oslo 0
Hasle-Loren 1
Stabaek 2
Tiller 2
Levanger 1
Traeff 0
Molde 2
Viking 3
Staal Jorpeland 0
Vidar 0
Sandnes Ulf 2
Randaberg 3
Flekkeroy 2
Bjarg 0
Haugesund 3
Sogndal 2
Fyllingen 0
Orn 2
Asker 4
Asane 2
Lov Ham 1
Fana 2
Brann 3
Aalesund 5
Maloy 0
Kristiansund 0
Hodd 2
Kjelsas 2
Valerenga 1
Baerum 2
Sarpsborg 08 3
Lillestrom 2
Gjovik 0
Kvik Halden 1
Sandefjord 2
Byasen 3
Ham-Kam 1
Verdal 0
Rosenborg 5
Alta 3
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 0
Stjordals Blink 2
Ranheim 3
Bodo/Glimt 6
Skarp 1
Senja 0
Tromso 3
Stromsgodset 2
Birkebeineren 1
Tonsberg 0
Mjondalen 2
Notodden 1
Strommen 0
Vindbjart 3
Start 4
1/16-finals
Fredrikstad 4
Lorenskog 0
Kongsvinger 1
Odds BK 2
Honefoss 3
Stabaek 1
Tiller 1
Molde 7
Viking 2
Sandnes Ulf 0
Randaberg 3
Haugesund 5
Sogndal 2
Asker 0
Asane 0
Brann 1
Aalesund 2
Hodd 1
Kjelsas 1
Sarpsborg 08 2
Lillestrom 1
Sandefjord 0
Byasen 3
Rosenborg 6
Alta 1
Ranheim 0
Bodo/Glimt 0
Tromso 3
Stromsgodset 2
Mjondalen 1
Notodden 1
Start 2
1/8-finals
Fredrikstad 2
Odds BK 1
Honefoss 1
Molde 3
Viking 3
Haugesund 2
Sogndal 2
Brann 3
Aalesund 3
Sarpsborg 08 0
Lillestrom 2
Rosenborg 3
Alta 1
Tromso 0
Stromsgodset 0
Start 1
Quarter-finals
Fredrikstad 3
Molde 2
Viking 1
Brann 2
Aalesund 3
Rosenborg 1
Alta 0
Start 1
Semi-finals
Fredrikstad 0
Brann 2
Aalesund 1
Start 0
Final
Brann 1
Aalesund 2