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Stadium Background

Gabala 2 vs Mingachevir

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Iskandarov F.
57' Event
Damadayev S.
74' Event
Yaqubov T.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Gabala 2 and Mingachevir finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gabala 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gabala 2
35%
Draws
37%
Mingachevir
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mingachevir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Mingachevir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gabala 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Mingachevir Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gabala 2 Mingachevir
Matches Played 30 49
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 13
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.6 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2023 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Gabala 2
1:0
Nov 2, 2022 I Liqa
Gabala 2 vs Mingachevir
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gabala 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Iskandarov F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Damadayev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Mingachevir Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gabala 2 32 / 100
Mingachevir 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gabala 2 Mingachevir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gabala 2 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Mingachevir let in goals in 76% of their last 49 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Gabala 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mingachevir
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gabala 2

(Home)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 2
Gabala 2
09 May
Gabala 2
1 : 1
Neftci Baku 2
04 May
Sabail 2
1 : 0
Gabala 2
25 Apr
Gabala 2
0 : 1
Lokbatan
Page 1 of 6

Mingachevir

(Away)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Sabail
2 : 1
Mingachevir
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
28 May
Gabala
2 : 0
Mingachevir
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)