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Gabala 2 vs MOIK Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Agalarov S.
75'
Huseynov K.
88' Event
Agalarov S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Gabala 2 in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gabala 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Gabala 2
35%
Draws
45%
MOIK Baku
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: MOIK Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Gabala 2 haven't matched MOIK Baku's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans MOIK Baku's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gabala 2 Clean Sheet 20%
MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gabala 2 MOIK Baku
Matches Played 30 49
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 13
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.6 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2023 I Liqa
Gabala 2 vs MOIK Baku
3:0
Oct 25, 2022 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Gabala 2
2:4
Apr 6, 2022 I Liqa
Gabala 2 vs MOIK Baku
0:1
Nov 3, 2021 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Gabala 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gabala 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Agalarov S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tahmazli O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

MOIK Baku Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gabala 2 24 / 100
MOIK Baku 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gabala 2 MOIK Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOIK Baku Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MOIK Baku has conceded goals in 82% of their last 49 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Gabala 2 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Gabala 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS MOIK Baku
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gabala 2

(Home)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 2
Gabala 2
09 May
Gabala 2
1 : 1
Neftci Baku 2
04 May
Sabail 2
1 : 0
Gabala 2
25 Apr
Gabala 2
0 : 1
Lokbatan
Page 1 of 6

MOIK Baku

(Away)
18 Sept
FC Khankendi
0 : 2
MOIK Baku
11 Sept
MOIK Baku
1 : 1
Shimal
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
15 May
Mingachevir
3 : 1
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)