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Gabala 2 vs Neftci Baku 2

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Maharramov R.
80'
Alasgarov S.
80'
Alasgarov S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gabala 2
6%
Draws
90%
Neftci Baku 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Neftci Baku 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Neftci Baku 2 have won more games recently than Gabala 2.
  • Win probability leans Neftci Baku 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gabala 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Neftci Baku 2 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gabala 2 Neftci Baku 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.25 3
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2023 I Liqa
Gabala 2 vs Neftci Baku 2
1:1
Dec 5, 2022 I Liqa
Neftci Baku 2 vs Gabala 2
1:0
Feb 23, 2022 I Liqa
Neftci Baku 2 vs Gabala 2
0:3
Sep 21, 2021 I Liqa
Gabala 2 vs Neftci Baku 2
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gabala 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Maharramov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Neftci Baku 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Salyanskiy A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gabala 2 10 / 100
Neftci Baku 2 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gabala 2 Neftci Baku 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gabala 2 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Neftci Baku 2 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Gabala 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gabala 2 VS Neftci Baku 2
1.25 Goals Scored 3
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gabala 2

(Home)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 2
Gabala 2
09 May
Gabala 2
1 : 1
Neftci Baku 2
04 May
Sabail 2
1 : 0
Gabala 2
25 Apr
Gabala 2
0 : 1
Lokbatan
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Neftci Baku 2

(Away)
23 May
MOIK Baku
2 : 4
Neftci Baku 2
16 May
Neftci Baku 2
2 : 1
Araz PFK
09 May
Gabala 2
1 : 1
Neftci Baku 2
03 May
Neftci Baku 2
2 : 2
Turan 2
26 Apr
Zira FK 2
1 : 1
Neftci Baku 2
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araz PFK28223369:2269
2Neftci Baku 228185567:3259
3Turan 2281531049:3748
4Sabail 2281351046:4444
5Gabala 228128845:2844
6Zaqatala PFK281351049:4844
7Kapaz 2281341141:3643
8MOIK Baku28127943:4243
9Lokbatan281251130:2341
10Shamakhi 2281141340:5637
11Qarabag Agdam 228941532:3931
12Zira FK 2286101228:4128
13SumQayit FK 228641836:6022
14Mingachevir28551829:5120
15Imisli FK28622021:6620
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)