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Gabala vs Dinamo Baki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup 2007/2008
Thu, Mar 20, 2008
2 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Gabala advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Gabala
20%
Draws
16%
Dinamo Baki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gabala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Gabala have managed 1.06 goals a game lately — Dinamo Baki are scoring more at 1.11.
  • Gabala are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Dinamo Baki, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Gabala Clean Sheet 12%
Dinamo Baki Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gabala Dinamo Baki
Matches Played 35 19
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.06 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2008 Azerbaijan Cup
Gabala vs Dinamo Baki
2:1
Mar 6, 2008 Azerbaijan Cup
Dinamo Baki vs Gabala
1:1
Dec 2, 2006 Azerbaijan Cup
Dinamo Baki vs Gabala
1:0
Nov 21, 2006 Azerbaijan Cup
Gabala vs Dinamo Baki
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gabala 83 / 100
Dinamo Baki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gabala Dinamo Baki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gabala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Dinamo Baki has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gabala's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Dinamo Baki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 19 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gabala VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gabala

(Home)
18 Sept
Gabala
0 : 3
Neftci Baku
12 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 0
Gabala
04 Sept
Gabala
2 : 1
Imisli FK
29 Aug
Gabala
0 : 0
Shamakhi
22 Aug
Gabala
0 : 1
Safa Baku
Page 1 of 7

Dinamo Baki

(Away)
28 Oct
Dinamo Baki
0 : 5
Turan
29 Oct
Dinamo Baki
0 : 6
Sabail
20 Mar
Gabala
2 : 1
Dinamo Baki
06 Mar
Dinamo Baki
1 : 1
Gabala
31 Oct
FK Samaxi
2 : 0
Dinamo Baki
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Dinamo Baki 3
FK Samaxi 2
Gabala 3
Simurq Zaqatala 2 1
ABN Barda 1
Shuvalan 1
Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit 1
Khazar Lankaran 4
Neftci Baku 3
Abseron 1
Standard Sumqayit 4
Karvan 0
Turan 2
Qarabag Agdam 3
FK Masalli 3
Shamakhi 4
Quarter-finals
Dinamo Baki 2
Gabala 3
Shuvalan 1
Khazar Lankaran 2
Neftci Baku 5
Standard Sumqayit 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
Shamakhi 3
Semi-finals
Gabala 2
Khazar Lankaran 4
Neftci Baku 2
Shamakhi 3
Final
Khazar Lankaran 2
Shamakhi 0