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Gabon U20 vs Mali U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U20 2011
Gabon U20 Logo

Gabon U20

1 - 0
FT
Mali U20 Logo

Mali U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Gabon U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Gabon U20
15%
Draws
64%
Mali U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mali U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Mali U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gabon U20 a 21% chance of winning this.
  • Mali U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gabon U20, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gabon U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gabon U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Mali U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gabon U20 Mali U20
Matches Played 25 33
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2013 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Gabon U20 vs Mali U20
2:0
Oct 23, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Gabon U20 vs Mali U20
1:0
Oct 2, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Mali U20 vs Gabon U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gabon U20 39 / 100
Mali U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gabon U20 Mali U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gabon U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U20 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Attacking prowess: Gabon U20 scored in 68% of their last 25 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Gabon U20 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mali U20
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gabon U20

(Home)
21 Jul
Gabon U20
0 : 1
Burkina Faso U20
14 Jul
Burkina Faso U20
3 : 1
Gabon U20
19 May
Ivory Coast U20
2 : 0
Gabon U20
12 May
Gabon U20
3 : 0
Ivory Coast U20
22 Apr
Togo U20
2 : 1
Gabon U20
Page 1 of 5

Mali U20

(Away)
14 Jun
Mali U20
3 : 2
Japan U20
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 3
Mali U20
06 Jun
France U20
1 : 2
Mali U20
03 Jun
Mali U20
1 : 2
Panama U20
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Gambia U20 4
Sierra Leone U20 1
Tanzania U20 1
Ivory Coast U20 2
Congo U20 3
Rwanda U20 2
Central Africa U20 1
Cameroon U20 5
Kenya U20 3
Sudan U20 0
South Africa U20 2
Lesotho U20 3
Mauritius U20 3
Zambia U20 2
Guinea U20 1
Nigeria U20 2
Benin U20 4
Burkina Faso U20 2
Namibia U20 1
Ghana U20 5
Senegal U20 2
Morocco U20 0
Uganda U20 1
Egypt U20 2
Gabon U20 3
Angola U20 2
Chad U20 0
Mali U20 4
1/8-finals
Gambia U20 2
Ivory Coast U20 0
Congo U20 0
Cameroon U20 3
Kenya U20 0
Lesotho U20 1
Mauritius U20 1
Nigeria U20 4
Benin U20 1
Ghana U20 6
Senegal U20 1
Egypt U20 3
Gabon U20 2
Mali U20 3
1/32-finals
Gambia U20 -
TBD -
Algeria U20 1
Sierra Leone U20 2
Tanzania U20 5
Malawi U20 3
TBD -
Ivory Coast U20 -
Congo U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Rwanda U20 -
Central Africa U20 7
D.R. Congo U20 1
TBD -
Cameroon U20 -
Kenya U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudan U20 -
South Africa U20 -
TBD -
Mozambique U20 2
Lesotho U20 7
Mauritius U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U20 -
Guinea U20 2
Togo U20 2
TBD -
Nigeria U20 -
Benin U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U20 -
Namibia U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghana U20 -
Senegal U20 1
Tunisia U20 0
TBD -
Morocco U20 -
Uganda U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Egypt U20 -
Gabon U20 4
Equatorial Guinea U20 1
TBD -
Angola U20 -
Chad U20 7
Burundi U20 4
TBD -
Mali U20 -