Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade de Franceville, Franceville

Gabon

1 - 5

Morocco

Our Tip

Match Events

Bouanga D.

Assist: Kanga G.

Allevinah J.

17'

Harkass J.

Assist: Hakimi A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Morocco advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%

Gabon

15%

Draws

68%

Morocco

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Morocco come out ahead of Gabon on wins alone.
Win probability leans Morocco's way, sitting at 80%.
Morocco arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Morocco, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Gabon Clean Sheet 10%

Morocco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gabon	Morocco
Matches Played	28	31
Wins	13	25
Draws	4	5
Losses	11	1
Goals Scored	1.57	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.54	0.48
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Gabon vs Morocco

1:5

Sep 6, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Morocco vs Gabon

4:1

Jan 18, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations

Gabon vs Morocco

2:2

Oct 15, 2019 Friendly International

Morocco vs Gabon

2:3

Oct 7, 2017 World Championship

Morocco vs Gabon

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gabon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouanga D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Morocco Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz B.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Harkass J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.27

Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gabon 10 / 100

Morocco 86 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gabon Morocco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Gabon scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Morocco conceded in 39% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gabon stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gabon VS Morocco

2 Goals Scored 2.25

2.75 Goals Conceded 0.25

100% Over 1.5 75%

100% Over 2.5 50%

100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gabon

(Home)

30 Mar

Trinidad & Tobago

2 : 3

Gabon

27 Mar

Uzbekistan

3 : 1

Gabon

31 Dec

Gabon

2 : 3

Ivory Coast

28 Dec

Gabon

2 : 3

Mozambique

24 Dec

Cameroon

1 : 0

Gabon

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Morocco

(Away)

09 Jul

France

2 : 0

Morocco

04 Jul

Canada

0 : 3

Morocco

30 Jun

Netherlands

1 : 2

Morocco

24 Jun

Morocco

4 : 2

Haiti

19 Jun

Scotland

0 : 1

Morocco

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