Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gaborone Utd vs Morupule

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Gaborone Utd and Morupule finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gaborone Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gaborone Utd
30%
Draws
31%
Morupule
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gaborone Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Gaborone Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gaborone Utd have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Gaborone Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Morupule Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaborone Utd Morupule
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.97 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.61 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Premier League
Gaborone Utd vs Morupule
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 Premier League
Morupule vs Gaborone Utd
1:2
Apr 13, 2025 Premier League
Gaborone Utd vs Morupule
3:1
Jan 4, 2025 Premier League
Morupule vs Gaborone Utd
4:2
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
Morupule vs Gaborone Utd
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaborone Utd 42 / 100
Morupule 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaborone Utd Morupule

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaborone Utd found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Morupule conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gaborone Utd stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gaborone Utd VS Morupule
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaborone Utd

(Home)
12 Sept
Young Africans
2 : 1
Gaborone Utd
05 Sept
Gaborone Utd
1 : 1
Young Africans
28 Aug
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1
Prisons XI Gaborone
23 May
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1
BDF XI
20 May
Centre Chiefs
0 : 1
Gaborone Utd
Page 1 of 7

Morupule

(Away)
12 Sept
Morupule
1 : 1
Township Rollers
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0
Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0
Police XI
13 May
Morupule
3 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 23 5 2 62:15 74
2 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 18 5 7 44:30 59
4 Centre Chiefs 30 16 8 6 37:18 56
5 Morupule 30 14 5 11 41:33 47
6 Orapa United 30 12 11 7 35:30 47
7 Township Rollers 30 13 6 11 33:33 45
8 Nico United 30 10 12 8 28:25 42
9 Tafic FC 30 8 11 11 27:26 35
10 Matebele 30 8 9 13 29:37 33
11 Police XI 30 7 11 12 17:29 32
12 BDF XI 30 7 9 14 30:42 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 7 8 15 26:43 29
14 Black Lions 30 7 6 17 17:38 27
15 Santa Green 30 6 4 20 23:58 22
16 Calendar Stars 30 5 6 19 19:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)