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Gaborone Utd vs Morupule - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gaborone Utd host Morupule in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Gaborone Utd have averaged 1.97 scored and 0.61 conceded recently, against Morupule's 1.17 scored and 0.86 conceded. Past meetings favor Gaborone Utd slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 18, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.13 - 0.94) back Gaborone Utd to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gaborone Utd
30%
Draws
31%
Morupule
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gaborone Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Gaborone Utd have won more games recently than Morupule.
  • Model gives Gaborone Utd a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gaborone Utd here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Gaborone Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Morupule Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaborone Utd Morupule
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 22 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.61 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Premier League
Gaborone Utd vs Morupule
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 Premier League
Morupule vs Gaborone Utd
1:2
Apr 13, 2025 Premier League
Gaborone Utd vs Morupule
3:1
Jan 4, 2025 Premier League
Morupule vs Gaborone Utd
4:2
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
Morupule vs Gaborone Utd
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaborone Utd 36 / 100
Morupule 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaborone Utd Morupule

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaborone Utd found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Gaborone Utd has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Morupule has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gaborone Utd VS Morupule
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaborone Utd

(Home)
12 Sept
Young Africans
2 : 1
Gaborone Utd
05 Sept
Gaborone Utd
1 : 1
Young Africans
28 Aug
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1
Prisons XI Gaborone
23 May
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1
BDF XI
20 May
Centre Chiefs
0 : 1
Gaborone Utd
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Morupule

(Away)
12 Sept
Morupule
1 : 1
Township Rollers
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0
Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0
Police XI
13 May
Morupule
3 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tonota 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
2 Sua Flamingoes 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
3 Police XI 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
4 Nico United 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
5 Tafic FC 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
6 Extension Gunners 3 2 0 1 2:3 6
7 Enesia 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
8 Township Rollers 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
9 BDF XI 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
10 Centre Chiefs 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
11 Gaborone Utd 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Orapa United 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
13 Morupule 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
14 Jwaneng Galaxy 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Matebele 4 0 0 4 1:6 0
16 Prisons XI Gaborone 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)