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Gaborone Utd vs Security Systems - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2024/2025 BIAC Stadium, Gaborone
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Maponda T.
90' Event
Kgamanyane T.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Gaborone Utd and Security Systems finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gaborone Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Gaborone Utd
20%
Draws
23%
Security Systems
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gaborone Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Gaborone Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gaborone Utd a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Gaborone Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Security Systems Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaborone Utd Security Systems
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.79 1
Goals Conceded 0.54 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Premier League
Gaborone Utd vs Security Systems
2:0
Nov 29, 2024 Premier League
Security Systems vs Gaborone Utd
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 Premier League
Security Systems vs Gaborone Utd
3:2
Dec 22, 2023 Premier League
Gaborone Utd vs Security Systems
3:2
Feb 18, 2023 Premier League
Security Systems vs Gaborone Utd
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gaborone Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Maponda T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kgamanyane T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Security Systems Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaborone Utd 36 / 100
Security Systems 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaborone Utd Security Systems

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Gaborone Utd scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Security Systems conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Gaborone Utd remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gaborone Utd VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaborone Utd

(Home)
12 Sept
Young Africans
2 : 1
Gaborone Utd
05 Sept
Gaborone Utd
1 : 1
Young Africans
28 Aug
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1
Prisons XI Gaborone
23 May
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1
BDF XI
20 May
Centre Chiefs
0 : 1
Gaborone Utd
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Security Systems

(Away)
24 May
Flamingo Santos
3 : 3
Security Systems
17 May
Security Systems
7 : 1
Chadibe
14 May
Centre Chiefs
3 : 2
Security Systems
04 May
Security Systems
0 : 2
Sua Flamingoes
16 Apr
Tafic FC
3 : 1
Security Systems
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 20 6 4 56:23 66
2 Tafic FC 30 17 9 4 51:23 60
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 17 8 5 63:31 59
4 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 15 14 1 43:20 59
5 Centre Chiefs 30 15 11 4 46:20 56
6 Township Rollers 30 15 9 6 37:28 54
7 Morupule 30 12 6 12 41:36 42
8 Orapa United 30 9 13 8 36:31 40
9 VTM FC 30 8 11 11 36:33 35
10 Nico United 30 7 11 12 18:32 32
11 BDF XI 30 7 10 13 28:33 31
12 Matebele 30 8 6 16 30:45 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 8 5 17 25:48 29
14 Security Systems 30 6 8 16 30:45 26
15 Chadibe 30 2 10 18 19:62 16
16 Flamingo Santos 30 2 7 21 18:67 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)