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Gafanha vs Agueda

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019
Gafanha Logo

Gafanha

0 - 1
FT
Agueda Logo

Agueda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Agueda in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Agueda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Gafanha
15%
Draws
12%
Agueda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gafanha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Gafanha have won more games recently than Agueda.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gafanha Clean Sheet 19%
Agueda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gafanha Agueda
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 8 5
Draws 3 6
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.2 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gafanha vs Agueda
0:1
Nov 11, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Agueda vs Gafanha
3:3
Mar 4, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Gafanha vs Agueda
0:1
Oct 29, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Agueda vs Gafanha
2:1
Nov 13, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Gafanha vs Agueda
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gafanha 31 / 100
Agueda 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gafanha Agueda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gafanha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gafanha scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Agueda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Agueda lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Agueda
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gafanha

(Home)
12 May
Gafanha
0 : 4
SC Espinho
05 May
Amarante FC
2 : 1
Gafanha
28 Apr
Gafanha
2 : 1
Lusitano FCV
20 Apr
Gondomar
6 : 1
Gafanha
14 Apr
Gafanha
2 : 1
Meda
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Agueda

(Away)
01 Oct
Agueda
0 : 1
Pevidem
10 Apr
Sanjoanense
1 : 0
Agueda
03 Apr
Agueda
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
21 Mar
Agueda
0 : 2
Castro Daire
12 Mar
Agueda
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Espinho 34 20 9 5 52:20 69
2 Lusitania FC 34 19 12 3 52:27 69
3 Gondomar 34 18 10 6 50:22 64
4 Agueda 34 16 12 6 43:26 60
5 Lusitano FCV 34 17 8 9 59:28 59
6 Sanjoanense 34 15 10 9 44:34 55
7 Amarante FC 34 15 9 10 45:28 54
8 Coimbroes 34 13 10 11 43:39 49
9 Maritimo B 34 12 13 9 53:40 49
10 Paredes 34 13 7 14 42:33 46
11 U. Madeira 34 12 8 14 28:35 44
12 Leca 34 12 7 15 34:41 43
13 Pedras Rubras 34 9 15 10 36:43 42
14 Cinfaes 34 11 8 15 33:40 41
15 Gafanha 34 11 4 19 46:69 37
16 Penalva do Castelo 34 7 7 20 27:66 28
17 FC Cesarense 34 4 13 17 37:55 25
18 Meda 34 0 2 32 21:99 2
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)