Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018

Gafanha

2 - 0

Aguias do Moradal

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gafanha in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gafanha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Gafanha

17%

Draws

13%

Aguias do Moradal

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Gafanha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Gafanha have won more games recently than Aguias do Moradal.
Model gives Gafanha a 70% chance of winning this.
Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Gafanha Clean Sheet 68%

Aguias do Moradal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gafanha	Aguias do Moradal
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	10	6
Draws	3	3
Losses	19	21
Goals Scored	1	0.88
Goals Conceded	2.13	2.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Gafanha vs Aguias do Moradal

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 0 - 2

2:0

Dec 10, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Aguias do Moradal vs Gafanha

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 1 - 0

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gafanha 77 / 100

Aguias do Moradal 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gafanha Aguias do Moradal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAF Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguias do Moradal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Gafanha scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Aguias do Moradal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gafanha VS Aguias do Moradal

1 Goals Scored 0.88

2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Leiria	30	23	4	3	68:21	73
2	Lusitano FCV	30	20	5	5	47:19	65
3	SB Castelo Branco	30	17	8	5	48:23	59
4	Sertanense	30	15	8	7	51:22	53
5	Agueda	30	14	7	9	39:32	49
6	Gafanha	30	13	9	8	36:23	48
7	Anadia	30	12	10	8	39:28	46
8	Maritimo B	30	14	3	13	44:30	45
9	Nogueirense	30	11	9	10	37:38	42
10	Oleiros	30	12	6	12	35:36	42
11	Marinhense	30	11	8	11	43:41	41
12	Mortagua FC	30	11	3	16	23:40	36
13	Ferreira de Aves	30	9	2	19	34:69	29
14	Aguias do Moradal	30	5	6	19	29:54	21
15	GD Sourense	30	3	8	19	28:57	17
16	Fornos de Algodres	30	0	4	26	15:83	4