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Gafanha vs Leca

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019
Gafanha Logo

Gafanha

1 - 2
FT
Leca Logo

Leca

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 game between Gafanha and Leca finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gafanha
15%
Draws
46%
Leca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Leca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Leca are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Gafanha Clean Sheet 13%
Leca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gafanha Leca
Matches Played 31 42
Wins 9 26
Draws 3 10
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.23 1.98
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gafanha vs Leca
1:2
Sep 23, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs Gafanha
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gafanha 27 / 100
Leca 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gafanha Leca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gafanha found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Leca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 42 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gafanha stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leca
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gafanha

(Home)
12 May
Gafanha
0 : 4
SC Espinho
05 May
Amarante FC
2 : 1
Gafanha
28 Apr
Gafanha
2 : 1
Lusitano FCV
20 Apr
Gondomar
6 : 1
Gafanha
14 Apr
Gafanha
2 : 1
Meda
Page 1 of 7

Leca

(Away)
12 Sept
Trofense
1 : 4
Leca
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
Leca
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Espinho 34 20 9 5 52:20 69
2 Lusitania FC 34 19 12 3 52:27 69
3 Gondomar 34 18 10 6 50:22 64
4 Agueda 34 16 12 6 43:26 60
5 Lusitano FCV 34 17 8 9 59:28 59
6 Sanjoanense 34 15 10 9 44:34 55
7 Amarante FC 34 15 9 10 45:28 54
8 Coimbroes 34 13 10 11 43:39 49
9 Maritimo B 34 12 13 9 53:40 49
10 Paredes 34 13 7 14 42:33 46
11 U. Madeira 34 12 8 14 28:35 44
12 Leca 34 12 7 15 34:41 43
13 Pedras Rubras 34 9 15 10 36:43 42
14 Cinfaes 34 11 8 15 33:40 41
15 Gafanha 34 11 4 19 46:69 37
16 Penalva do Castelo 34 7 7 20 27:66 28
17 FC Cesarense 34 4 13 17 37:55 25
18 Meda 34 0 2 32 21:99 2
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)