Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Messai M.
65'
65'
Messai M.
90'
90'
Saidi A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Gafsa in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gafsa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gafsa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gafsa lately — more wins on the board than Djelma.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Gafsa taking it.
- Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Gafsa Clean Sheet 16%
Djelma Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gafsa | Djelma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Djelma
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Ligue 2
Djelma vs Gafsa
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gafsa Compare
Top Goalscorer Messai M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Djelma Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gafsa 66 / 100
Djelma 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gafsa Djelma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gafsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gafsa's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Djelma let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Solid form: Gafsa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gafsa VS Djelma
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Gafsa
(Home) 12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2 Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1 Gafsa
28 Apr
Gafsa
1 : 0 Jendouba Sport
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2 Gafsa
11 Apr
Gafsa
0 : 0 Redeyef
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2 Sidi Bouzid
28 Apr
Gafsa
1 : 0 Jendouba Sport
11 Apr
Gafsa
0 : 0 Redeyef
28 Mar
Gafsa
2 : 1 Djelma
21 Feb
Gafsa
0 : 1 Kasserine
Page 1 of 3
Djelma
(Away) 12 May
Djelma
0 : 0 Stade Gabesien
02 May
Korba
1 : 0 Djelma
28 Apr
PS Sakiet Eddaier
4 : 1 Djelma
19 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0 Kasserine
11 Apr
Kalaa
1 : 0 Djelma
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Korba
1 : 0 Djelma
28 Apr
PS Sakiet Eddaier
4 : 1 Djelma
11 Apr
Kalaa
1 : 0 Djelma
28 Mar
Gafsa
2 : 1 Djelma
21 Feb
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 1 Djelma
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
